Tennis · W50 Elvas · 02/07, 20:00

Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Stephanie Judith Visscher

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Stephanie Judith Visscher; the market gives 71% to Lucie Havlickova (odds 1.33).

Recent form leaves Lucie Havlickova with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Stephanie Judith Visscher has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

57%1
57% 43%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1470 · Stephanie Judith Visscher 1546
Lucie HavlickovaStephanie Judith Visscher
Our model39%61%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stephanie Judith Visscher (rating 1470 vs 1546).
  • Lucie Havlickova dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 58.7% break avg.
  • Stephanie Judith Visscher is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (7.1/match).

Statistics

Lucie HavlickovaStephanie Judith Visscher
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1-1.51.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.7-12.210.8-8.3
Aces6.54
Double faults7.12.7
1st serve %66.7%74.2%
Break %58.7%51.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucie Havlickova

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Maria Garcia
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
23/06 Maria Lourdes Carle
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 16-18 L
12/06 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
11/06 Jana Kovackova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
10/06 Hibah Shaikh
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
19/05 Linda Fruhvirtova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
12/05 Laura Hietaranta
W75 Trnava
0-2 5-12 L
29/04 Darja Semenistaja
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/04 Fiona Ferro
WTA Oeiras · Clay
1-2 11-12 L

Stephanie Judith Visscher

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Kira Pavlova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Elena Micic
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
23/05 Nahia Berecoechea
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/05 Sabine Rutlauka
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/05 Urszula Radwanska
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
20/05 Cayetana Gay
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
06/05 Rositsa Dencheva
W50 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/05 Tinatini Mtvarelishvili
W50 Lopota · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
28/04 Rositsa Dencheva
W75 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
26/04 Weronika Ewald
W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Stephanie Judith Visscher?

Our model gives 57% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.