Tennis · W50 Elvas · 04/07, 21:30
Prediction: Matilde Jorge vs Hina Inoue
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Hina Inoue; the market gives 54% to Matilde Jorge (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Matilde Jorge sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Hina Inoue arrives on a 7-3 run.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Jorge 1557 · Hina Inoue 1562
| Matilde Jorge | Hina Inoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Jorge | Hina Inoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.3 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Hina Inoue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/05 | Yidi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Meiqi Guo W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Maria Kalyakina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Jorge vs Hina Inoue?
Our model gives 52% to Matilde Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.