Tennis · W50 Elvas · 04/07, 20:00
Prediction: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Han Shi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Han Shi; the market gives 65% to Carol Young Suh Lee (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Carol Young Suh Lee sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Han Shi arrives on a 4-6 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carol Young Suh Lee 1509 · Han Shi 1553
| Carol Young Suh Lee | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1509 vs 1553).
- Carol Young Suh Lee dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 54.7% break avg.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Carol Young Suh Lee | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.2 | 11.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carol Young Suh Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Sloane Stephens French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sada Nahimana W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/04 | Mina Hodzic W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carol Young Suh Lee vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 55% to Carol Young Suh Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.