Tennis · W50 Elvas · 03/07, 10:00

Prediction: Nao Hibino vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Nao Hibino; the market gives 50% to Nao Hibino (odds 1.83).

Recent form leaves Nao Hibino with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Carol Young Suh Lee has piled up 3-7 in the same span.

52%1
52% 48%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nao Hibino 1512 · Carol Young Suh Lee 1479
Nao HibinoCarol Young Suh Lee
Our model55%45%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Carol Young Suh Lee dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 55.4% break avg.

Statistics

Nao HibinoCarol Young Suh Lee
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.6-9.710.8-10.8
Aces5.86.3
Double faults3.53
1st serve %63%64.3%
Break %40.2%55.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nao Hibino

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 15-8 W
01/07 Iveta Dapkute
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 12-13 L
23/06 Priscilla Hon
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
06/06 Katie Volynets
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
02/06 Janice Tjen
WTA Birmingham · Grass
1-2 12-15 L
31/05 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
30/05 Mariam Bolkvadze
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
18/05 Alina Korneeva
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/05 Lisa Zaar
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Carol Young Suh Lee

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-16 L
06/06 Lin Zhu
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
18/05 Sloane Stephens
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Sada Nahimana
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/05 Julia Avdeeva
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
30/04 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
28/04 Mina Hodzic
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
20/04 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Oeiras · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nao Hibino vs Carol Young Suh Lee?

Our model gives 52% to Nao Hibino, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.