Tennis · W50 Elvas · 05/07, 20:00
Prediction: Matilde Jorge vs Han Shi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Matilde Jorge; the market gives 54% to Matilde Jorge (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Matilde Jorge is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Han Shi 5-5 over theirs.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Jorge 1581 · Han Shi 1582
| Matilde Jorge | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Jorge | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.7 | 12.1-8.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Jorge vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 52% to Matilde Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.