Prediction: Veronika Podrez vs Matilde Jorge
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Matilde Jorge; the market gives 65% to Veronika Podrez (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Veronika Podrez sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Matilde Jorge arrives on a 7-3 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Veronika Podrez 1507 · Matilde Jorge 1550
| Veronika Podrez | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matilde Jorge (rating 1507 vs 1550).
- Note: Veronika Podrez makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Veronika Podrez | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.7 | 10.3-7.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Veronika Podrez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Valeria Savinykh W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Maria Timofeeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Arantxa Rus Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Dominika Salkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Sloane Stephens WTA Paris · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/05 | Hanyu Guo WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/04 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Rouen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Sachia Vickery W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Veronika Podrez vs Matilde Jorge?
Our model gives 55% to Veronika Podrez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.