Tennis · W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 02/07, 15:00
Prediction: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Chloe Paquet
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Chloe Paquet; the market gives 56% to Chloe Paquet (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Ekaterine Gorgodze sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Chloe Paquet arrives on a 6-4 run.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1489 · Chloe Paquet 1547
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chloe Paquet (rating 1489 vs 1547).
- Head-to-head: Ekaterine Gorgodze 1–0 Chloe Paquet (1).
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.3 | 10-9.2 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 59% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1 – 0 Chloe Paquet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1–0 Chloe Paquet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/21 ITF W60 Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 2-1 | 13-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterine Gorgodze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vendula Valdmannova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Tamara Zidansek French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Jana Kovackova W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Chloe Paquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Britt Du Pree W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Amy Sucha W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Amy Zhu WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Nika Radisic WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Chloe Paquet?
Our model gives 57% to Chloe Paquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.