Prediction: Niklas Waldner vs Marko Retelj
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Marko Retelj; the market gives 50% to Marko Retelj (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Niklas Waldner sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Marko Retelj arrives on a 5-5 run.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niklas Waldner 1438 · Marko Retelj 1498
| Niklas Waldner | Marko Retelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko Retelj (rating 1438 vs 1498).
Statistics
| Niklas Waldner | Marko Retelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.6 | 7.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niklas Waldner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Matic Hribar M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Louis Wessels M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Alex Martinez Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Corban Crowther M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/02 | Ali Alshati M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/02 | Maximilian Neuchrist M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Marko Retelj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Miha Vetrih M15 Store |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jonas Pelle Hartenstein M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Andrin Casanova M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 20/05 | Michael Savano M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Nazar Oliynykov M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 22/04 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niklas Waldner vs Marko Retelj?
Our model gives 54% to Marko Retelj, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.