Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Ignacio Monzon
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Juan Manuel La Serna; the market gives 71% to Juan Manuel La Serna (odds 1.33).
On recent form, Juan Manuel La Serna is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ignacio Monzon 5-5 over theirs.
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Manuel La Serna (rating 1541 vs 1490).
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 2–1 Ignacio Monzon (3).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.1 | 10.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 55.9% |
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 2 – 1 Ignacio Monzon (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 2–1 Ignacio Monzon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Challenger Asuncion | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/07/23 Challenger Santa Fe | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ignacio Monzon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Julian Cundom Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Santiago Giamichelle Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Ignacio Monzon?
Our model gives 65% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.