Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: CMB Sporting Alicante vs Bidasoa Irun

Team pages: CMB Sporting Alicante · Bidasoa Irun

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.4Total

CMB Sporting Alicante30.7

Bidasoa Irun32.7

1X2

35% 65%

CMB Sporting Alicante Bidasoa Irun

Recent form · 10 last

CMB Sporting Alicante 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLLLW

Bidasoa Irun 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CMB Sporting Alicante 0–2 Bidasoa Irun (2 last)

Bidasoa Irun38-35CMB Sporting Alicante
CMB Sporting Alicante32-33Bidasoa Irun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CMB Sporting Alicante 1483 · Bidasoa Irun 1558

	CMB Sporting Alicante	Bidasoa Irun
Our model	49%	51%
Market	24%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 63.4 points · Bet365 line 63.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.4CMB Sporting Alicante 30.7 · Bidasoa Irun 32.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bidasoa Irun (rating 1483 vs 1558).
Bidasoa Irun is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Bidasoa Irun: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CMB Sporting Alicante	Bidasoa Irun
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.7 / 31.8	33.7 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 33.8	35.2 / 29.4
Est. result	31	33

Est. total63.4

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.95

2 (-2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.88

Under 63.51.88

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 62.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +9’	4.00	9.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CMB Sporting Alicante 0–0–2 Bidasoa Irun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	38-35	CMB Sporting Alicante
22/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	CMB Sporting Alicante	32-33	Bidasoa Irun

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Valladolid	5	5	0	0	172	142	10
2	Bidasoa Irun	5	5	0	0	176	147	10
3	FC Barcelona	4	4	0	0	173	123	8
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	5	4	0	1	175	172	8
5	Caserio Ciudad Real	4	3	1	0	134	125	7
6	BM Torrelavega	5	3	0	2	153	131	6
7	BM Granollers	4	3	0	1	139	123	6
8	BM Triana	5	2	0	3	162	172	4
9	CMB Sporting Alicante	5	2	0	3	145	169	4
10	Ciudad Encantada	4	1	0	3	129	133	2
11	Ademar Leon	5	1	0	4	172	179	2
12	BM Cangas	5	1	0	4	165	172	2
13	Puerto Sagunto	5	1	0	4	143	160	2
14	BM Nava	5	1	0	4	149	177	2
15	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	5	1	0	4	135	168	2
16	Villa De Aranda	5	0	1	4	142	171	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CMB Sporting Alicante	Bidasoa Irun
BM Granollers	31-41 L	31-32 L
BM Nava	32-34 L	35-25 W
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	25-25 D	31-25 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bidasoa Irun (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CMB Sporting Alicante

LDWLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	22-18	W
03/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	31-46	L
26/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-41	L
20/09	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	29-35	L
12/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	32-29	W
31/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	34-27	W
22/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	32-34	L
08/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
02/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
24/04	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	26-31	L

Bidasoa Irun

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
03/10	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	31-25	W
26/09	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	39-32	W
19/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-32	W
12/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	35-25	W
31/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-30	W
22/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-32	L
10/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
02/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	32-26	W
26/04	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-33	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CMB Sporting Alicante vs Bidasoa Irun?

Our model gives 65% to Bidasoa Irun.

How many points are expected in CMB Sporting Alicante vs Bidasoa Irun?

The model estimates 63.4 total points (CMB Sporting Alicante 30.7 · Bidasoa Irun 32.7).