Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 18/10, 18:15

Prediction: BM Cangas vs FC Barcelona

Team pages: BM Cangas · FC Barcelona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.3Total

BM Cangas27.8

FC Barcelona37.5

1X2

12% 88%

BM Cangas FC Barcelona

Recent form · 10 last

BM Cangas 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLLLW

FC Barcelona 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

BM Cangas 0–6 FC Barcelona (6 last)

BM Cangas22-35FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona42-31BM Cangas
BM Cangas30-36FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona45-38BM Cangas
FC Barcelona42-26BM Cangas
BM Cangas24-45FC Barcelona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Cangas 1453 · FC Barcelona 1688

	BM Cangas	FC Barcelona
Our model	28%	72%
Market	1%	97%

Estimated total (ours) 65.3 points · Bet365 line 70.5 · -5.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.3BM Cangas 27.8 · FC Barcelona 37.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Barcelona (rating 1453 vs 1688).
FC Barcelona is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours FC Barcelona: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Cangas	FC Barcelona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 31.3	42.4 / 27.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 34.4	42.8 / 30.2
Est. result	28	38

Est. total65.3

Line O/U70.5

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

165.00

X50.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+13.5)1.90

2 (-13.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 70.51.88

Under 70.51.88

Diff.: 4.95 · Est. total: 65.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	65.00 → 65.00	Bet365 65.00
X	50.00 → 50.00	Bet365 50.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 3.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:51 +26’	65.00	50.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Cangas 0–0–6 FC Barcelona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	22-35	FC Barcelona
04/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	42-31	BM Cangas
09/03/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	30-36	FC Barcelona
12/10/24 Spain Liga Asobal	FC Barcelona	45-38	BM Cangas
31/05/24 Spain Copa del Rey	FC Barcelona	42-26	BM Cangas
05/05/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	24-45	FC Barcelona

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Valladolid	5	5	0	0	172	142	10
2	Bidasoa Irun	5	5	0	0	176	147	10
3	FC Barcelona	4	4	0	0	173	123	8
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	5	4	0	1	175	172	8
5	Caserio Ciudad Real	4	3	1	0	134	125	7
6	BM Torrelavega	5	3	0	2	153	131	6
7	BM Granollers	4	3	0	1	139	123	6
8	BM Triana	5	2	0	3	162	172	4
9	CMB Sporting Alicante	5	2	0	3	145	169	4
10	Ciudad Encantada	4	1	0	3	129	133	2
11	Ademar Leon	5	1	0	4	172	179	2
12	BM Cangas	5	1	0	4	165	172	2
13	Puerto Sagunto	5	1	0	4	143	160	2
14	BM Nava	5	1	0	4	149	177	2
15	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	5	1	0	4	135	168	2
16	Villa De Aranda	5	0	1	4	142	171	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Cangas	FC Barcelona
BM Torrelavega	31-28 W	36-24 W
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	32-30 W	39-27 W
Ciudad Encantada	28-24 W	52-23 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Barcelona (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Cangas

WLLDWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W
02/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-40	L
25/09	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
19/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
11/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	34-38	L
31/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-30	W
22/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
10/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
01/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	25-33	L
25/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	28-24	W

FC Barcelona

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	40-33	W
03/10	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	46-31	W
20/09	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	39-27	W
11/09	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	48-32	W
31/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	41-28	W
22/05	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	36-24	W
09/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	38-24	W
25/04	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	42-25	W
17/04	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	42-24	W
15/04	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	52-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Cangas vs FC Barcelona?

Our model gives 88% to FC Barcelona.

How many points are expected in BM Cangas vs FC Barcelona?

The model estimates 65.3 total points (BM Cangas 27.8 · FC Barcelona 37.5).