Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Logrono La Rioja

Team pages: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil · BM Logrono La Rioja

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.5Total

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil29.3

BM Logrono La Rioja31.2

1X2

31% 69%

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil BM Logrono La Rioja

Recent form · 10 last

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWLLLL

BM Logrono La Rioja 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1–5 BM Logrono La Rioja (6 last)

BM Logrono La Rioja31-24Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil39-42BM Logrono La Rioja
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil26-28BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja33-34Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil24-31BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja24-21Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1462 · BM Logrono La Rioja 1551

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Logrono La Rioja
Our model	47%	53%
Market	19%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 60.5 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.5Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 29.3 · BM Logrono La Rioja 31.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Logrono La Rioja (rating 1462 vs 1551).
BM Logrono La Rioja is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours BM Logrono La Rioja: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Logrono La Rioja
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.5 / 30.8	32.5 / 31.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27 / 33.6	35 / 34.4
Est. result	29	31

Est. total60.5

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X10.00

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.90

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 60.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:36 +40’	5.00	10.00	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1–0–5 BM Logrono La Rioja

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	31-24	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
30/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	39-42	BM Logrono La Rioja
20/04/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	26-28	BM Logrono La Rioja
24/11/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	33-34	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
05/04/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	24-31	BM Logrono La Rioja
08/11/23 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	24-21	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Valladolid	5	5	0	0	172	142	10
2	Bidasoa Irun	5	5	0	0	176	147	10
3	FC Barcelona	4	4	0	0	173	123	8
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	5	4	0	1	175	172	8
5	Caserio Ciudad Real	4	3	1	0	134	125	7
6	BM Torrelavega	5	3	0	2	153	131	6
7	BM Granollers	4	3	0	1	139	123	6
8	BM Triana	5	2	0	3	162	172	4
9	CMB Sporting Alicante	5	2	0	3	145	169	4
10	Ciudad Encantada	4	1	0	3	129	133	2
11	Ademar Leon	5	1	0	4	172	179	2
12	BM Cangas	5	1	0	4	165	172	2
13	Puerto Sagunto	5	1	0	4	143	160	2
14	BM Nava	5	1	0	4	149	177	2
15	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	5	1	0	4	135	168	2
16	Villa De Aranda	5	0	1	4	142	171	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

LDLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	24-33	L
03/10	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-31	L
26/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	28-35	L
20/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-39	L
12/09	BM Sevilla Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
31/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-32	L
22/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-25	L
02/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D
26/04	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	24-31	L

BM Logrono La Rioja

WDWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-32	W
03/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	36-32	W
26/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
18/09	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	33-27	W
11/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	32-48	L
31/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	28-41	L
22/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	31-25	W
09/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	28-25	W
02/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D
26/04	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	31-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Logrono La Rioja?

Our model gives 69% to BM Logrono La Rioja.

How many points are expected in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Logrono La Rioja?

The model estimates 60.5 total points (Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 29.3 · BM Logrono La Rioja 31.2).