Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 20/09, 19:00

Prediction: RD Loka vs RD Ribnica

Team pages: RD Loka · RD Ribnica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.5Total

RD Loka33.1

RD Ribnica31.3

1X2

62% 38%

RD Loka RD Ribnica

Recent form · 10 last

RD Loka 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLWWLW

RD Ribnica 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

RD Loka 4–1–1 RD Ribnica (6 last)

RD Loka37-25RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica34-34RD Loka
RD Ribnica29-30RD Loka
RD Loka32-29RD Ribnica
RD Loka25-27RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica26-29RD Loka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Loka 1471 · RD Ribnica 1463

	RD Loka	RD Ribnica
Our model	61%	39%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 64.5 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.5RD Loka 33.1 · RD Ribnica 31.3

Match keys

H2H favours RD Loka: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Loka	RD Ribnica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 32.4	30.5 / 33.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 30	30.6 / 36
Est. result	33	31

Est. total64.5

Line O/U60.5

Diff.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 3.1 · Est. total: 63.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:47 +10’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Loka 4–1–1 RD Ribnica

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	37-25	RD Ribnica
27/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	34-34	RD Loka
23/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	29-30	RD Loka
16/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	32-29	RD Ribnica
07/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	25-27	RD Ribnica
16/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	26-29	RD Loka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	3	3	0	0	100	72	6
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	3	2	1	0	105	91	5
3	MRK Krka	3	2	1	0	93	83	5
4	RK Celje	3	2	0	1	106	93	4
5	RD Loka	3	2	0	1	96	86	4
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	3	2	0	1	87	83	4
7	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	3	1	1	1	89	84	3
8	RK Ormoz	3	1	1	1	89	93	3
9	SD Skofljica	3	1	0	2	88	100	2
10	RK Svis	3	0	0	3	77	99	0
11	RK Ajdovscina	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
12	RD Ribnica	3	0	0	3	78	101	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Loka	RD Ribnica
RD Slovan	32-48 L	22-38 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-28 D	28-29 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RD Loka (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Loka

LLDLLLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
05/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W
23/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W
09/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
30/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
24/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	32-48	L
11/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
05/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L
27/03	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	29-30	L

RD Ribnica

WLLWWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
05/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	22-38	L
02/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-34	L
23/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-40	L
09/05	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
25/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	27-26	W
11/04	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	32-29	W
04/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-30	L
28/03	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-38	L
06/03	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Loka vs RD Ribnica?

Our model gives 62% to RD Loka.

How many points are expected in RD Loka vs RD Ribnica?

The model estimates 64.5 total points (RD Loka 33.1 · RD Ribnica 31.3).