Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: RK Gorenje Velenje vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Team pages: RK Gorenje Velenje · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.3Total

RK Gorenje Velenje29.9

RK Slovenj Gradec 201129.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

RK Gorenje Velenje RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

RK Gorenje Velenje 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDDLWW

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWDL

Head-to-head

RK Gorenje Velenje 3–3 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (6 last)

RK Gorenje Velenje29-34RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201126-21RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Slovenj Gradec 201126-30RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje35-31RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Gorenje Velenje29-30RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201124-29RK Gorenje Velenje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Gorenje Velenje 1530 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1472

	RK Gorenje Velenje	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Our model	68%	32%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 59.3 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.3RK Gorenje Velenje 29.9 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 29.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Gorenje Velenje	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.3 / 28.6	31.9 / 32.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.2 / 27.4	29.4 / 31.4
Est. result	30	29

Est. total59.3

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 59.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
09:47 +10’	2.30	8.00	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Gorenje Velenje 3–0–3 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	29-34	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
28/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	26-21	RK Gorenje Velenje
13/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	26-30	RK Gorenje Velenje
26/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	35-31	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
07/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	29-30	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
04/12/24 Slovenia Cup	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	24-29	RK Gorenje Velenje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	3	3	0	0	100	72	6
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	3	2	1	0	105	91	5
3	MRK Krka	3	2	1	0	93	83	5
4	RK Celje	3	2	0	1	106	93	4
5	RD Loka	3	2	0	1	96	86	4
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	3	2	0	1	87	83	4
7	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	3	1	1	1	89	84	3
8	RK Ormoz	3	1	1	1	89	93	3
9	SD Skofljica	3	1	0	2	88	100	2
10	RK Svis	3	0	0	3	77	99	0
11	RK Ajdovscina	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
12	RD Ribnica	3	0	0	3	78	101	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Gorenje Velenje	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RD Slovan	25-35 L	23-28 L
RD Loka	28-28 D	36-34 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Gorenje Velenje

LLDLLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-28	W
05/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
02/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
23/05	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	25-35	L
24/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
11/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
03/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	19-26	L
28/03	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	21-26	L

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

WWLWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
05/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L
27/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
23/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-37	L
09/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-41	L
30/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
24/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Gorenje Velenje vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RK Gorenje Velenje 54% · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 46%).

How many points are expected in RK Gorenje Velenje vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

The model estimates 59.3 total points (RK Gorenje Velenje 29.9 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 29.4).