Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: RD Ribnica vs RK Gorenje Velenje

Team pages: RD Ribnica · RK Gorenje Velenje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.6Total

RD Ribnica29.5

RK Gorenje Velenje30.1

1X2

39% 61%

RD Ribnica RK Gorenje Velenje

Recent form · 10 last

RD Ribnica 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWLLL

RK Gorenje Velenje 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLDDLW

Head-to-head

RD Ribnica 1–5 RK Gorenje Velenje (6 last)

RD Ribnica30-28RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje27-26RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica27-28RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje35-24RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica24-30RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje38-33RD Ribnica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Ribnica 1468 · RK Gorenje Velenje 1493

	RD Ribnica	RK Gorenje Velenje
Our model	56%	44%
Market	25%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 59.6 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.6RD Ribnica 29.5 · RK Gorenje Velenje 30.1

Match keys

H2H favours RK Gorenje Velenje: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Ribnica	RK Gorenje Velenje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.8 / 34.2	26.1 / 28.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 35.4	27.4 / 28.8
Est. result	30	30

Est. total59.6

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.60

X9.00

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.95

2 (-2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 59.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:08 +38’	3.60	9.00	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Ribnica 1–0–5 RK Gorenje Velenje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	30-28	RK Gorenje Velenje
14/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	27-26	RD Ribnica
02/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	27-28	RK Gorenje Velenje
02/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	35-24	RD Ribnica
02/03/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	24-30	RK Gorenje Velenje
05/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	38-33	RD Ribnica

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	3	3	0	0	100	72	6
2	RK Trimo Trebnje	3	2	1	0	105	91	5
3	MRK Krka	3	2	1	0	93	83	5
4	RK Celje	3	2	0	1	106	93	4
5	RD Loka	3	2	0	1	96	86	4
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	3	2	0	1	87	83	4
7	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	3	1	1	1	89	84	3
8	RK Ormoz	3	1	1	1	89	93	3
9	SD Skofljica	3	1	0	2	88	100	2
10	RK Svis	3	0	0	3	77	99	0
11	RK Ajdovscina	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
12	RD Ribnica	3	0	0	3	78	101	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Ribnica

LWLLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	22-38	L
02/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-34	L
23/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-40	L
09/05	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
25/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	27-26	W
11/04	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	32-29	W
04/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-30	L
28/03	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-38	L
06/03	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-28	W
28/02	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-40	L

RK Gorenje Velenje

LLLDLLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
02/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
23/05	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	25-35	L
24/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
11/04	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
03/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	19-26	L
28/03	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	21-26	L
13/03	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	27-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Ribnica vs RK Gorenje Velenje?

Our model gives 61% to RK Gorenje Velenje.

How many points are expected in RD Ribnica vs RK Gorenje Velenje?

The model estimates 59.6 total points (RD Ribnica 29.5 · RK Gorenje Velenje 30.1).