Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: IFK Skovde HK vs HIF Karlskrona

Team pages: IFK Skovde HK · HIF Karlskrona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

IFK Skovde HK31.2

HIF Karlskrona29.9

1X2

67% 33%

IFK Skovde HK HIF Karlskrona

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Skovde HK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLLLL

HIF Karlskrona 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

IFK Skovde HK 2–4 HIF Karlskrona (6 last)

HIF Karlskrona30-24IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK37-28HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona31-30IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK21-28HIF Karlskrona
IFK Skovde HK22-31HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona26-29IFK Skovde HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Skovde HK 1521 · HIF Karlskrona 1461

	IFK Skovde HK	HIF Karlskrona
Our model	68%	32%
Market	58%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1IFK Skovde HK 31.2 · HIF Karlskrona 29.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Skovde HK (rating 1521 vs 1461).
IFK Skovde HK is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours HIF Karlskrona: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	IFK Skovde HK	HIF Karlskrona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.1 / 28.4	32 / 33.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.4 / 28.8	31 / 34
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.1

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

X7.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 60.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.55▼	Bet365 1.55
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.50 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:59 +10’	1.80	7.50	2.50
14:50 +11’	1.55▼	7.50	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Skovde HK 2–0–4 HIF Karlskrona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	30-24	IFK Skovde HK
21/11/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	37-28	HIF Karlskrona
12/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	31-30	IFK Skovde HK
20/09/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	21-28	HIF Karlskrona
19/12/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	22-31	HIF Karlskrona
23/11/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	26-29	IFK Skovde HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ystads IF HF	1	1	0	0	36	26	2
2	Alingsas HK	1	1	0	0	34	28	2
3	Skanela IF	1	1	0	0	34	29	2
4	IK Savehof	1	1	0	0	30	26	2
5	IFK Kristianstad	1	1	0	0	28	27	2
6	Lugi HF	1	1	0	0	25	24	2
7	Amo HK	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
7	OV Helsingborg	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
9	Hammarby IF HF	1	0	0	1	27	28	0
10	IF Hallby HK	1	0	0	1	24	25	0
11	Onnereds HK	1	0	0	1	26	30	0
12	HK Malmo	1	0	0	1	29	34	0
13	HIF Karlskrona	1	0	0	1	28	34	0
14	IFK Skovde HK	1	0	0	1	26	36	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Skovde HK	HIF Karlskrona
Alingsas HK	17-18 L	28-34 L
IFK Kristianstad	30-34 L	35-41 L
Amo HK	32-25 W	34-39 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Skovde HK (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Skovde HK

WWWWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L
15/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	17-18	L
12/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
07/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L
01/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-23	W
25/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
12/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
08/03	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-28	W
04/03	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-25	W
21/02	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-25	W

HIF Karlskrona

DWWLWLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L
16/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	35-41	L
13/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
09/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
03/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
25/03	Eskilstuna Guif Sweden Handbollsligan	31-27	W
13/03	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	34-39	L
09/03	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	36-35	W
04/03	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
27/02	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-33	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Skovde HK vs HIF Karlskrona?

Our model gives 67% to IFK Skovde HK.

How many points are expected in IFK Skovde HK vs HIF Karlskrona?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (IFK Skovde HK 31.2 · HIF Karlskrona 29.9).