Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: Hammarby IF HF vs IF Hallby HK

Team pages: Hammarby IF HF

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61Total

Hammarby IF HF30.4

IF Hallby HK30.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

75% 25%

Hammarby IF HF IF Hallby HK

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 58.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Hammarby IF HF 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWDLL

IF Hallby HK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Hammarby IF HF 4–2 IF Hallby HK (6 last)

Hammarby IF HF33-31IF Hallby HK
IF Hallby HK27-32Hammarby IF HF
IF Hallby HK35-33Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF27-25IF Hallby HK
IF Hallby HK30-26Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF34-28IF Hallby HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby IF HF 1479 · IF Hallby HK 1505

	Hammarby IF HF	IF Hallby HK
Our model	56%	44%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 61 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61Hammarby IF HF 30.4 · IF Hallby HK 30.6

Over / Under 58.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~63.1 pts · strength 5

Match keys

H2H favours Hammarby IF HF: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Hammarby IF HF	IF Hallby HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.8 / 30.7	31 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 30.8	32.4 / 30.4
Est. result	30	31

Est. total61

Line O/U58.5

Diff.2.5

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.13

X11.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.88

2 (+5.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 60.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.13▲	Bet365 1.13
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	8.00 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:58 +13’	1.11	11.00	8.00
14:59 +2’	1.13▲	11.00	7.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby IF HF 4–0–2 IF Hallby HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	33-31	IF Hallby HK
29/11/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IF Hallby HK	27-32	Hammarby IF HF
05/02/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IF Hallby HK	35-33	Hammarby IF HF
06/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	27-25	IF Hallby HK
25/03/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	IF Hallby HK	30-26	Hammarby IF HF
11/11/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	34-28	IF Hallby HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ystads IF HF	1	1	0	0	36	26	2
2	Alingsas HK	1	1	0	0	34	28	2
3	Skanela IF	1	1	0	0	34	29	2
4	IK Savehof	1	1	0	0	30	26	2
5	IFK Kristianstad	1	1	0	0	28	27	2
6	Lugi HF	1	1	0	0	25	24	2
7	Amo HK	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
7	OV Helsingborg	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
9	Hammarby IF HF	1	0	0	1	27	28	0
10	IF Hallby HK	1	0	0	1	24	25	0
11	Onnereds HK	1	0	0	1	26	30	0
12	HK Malmo	1	0	0	1	29	34	0
13	HIF Karlskrona	1	0	0	1	28	34	0
14	IFK Skovde HK	1	0	0	1	26	36	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby IF HF

LLWLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
20/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	33-38	L
16/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
13/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
07/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
01/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
25/03	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-34	L
13/03	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	34-29	W
07/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-31	L
04/03	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L

IF Hallby HK

WLLLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-25	L
08/04	GF Kroppskultur Sweden Handbollsligan	36-31	W
03/04	GF Kroppskultur Sweden Handbollsligan	33-30	W
31/03	GF Kroppskultur Sweden Handbollsligan	33-27	W
25/03	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	36-39	L
13/03	Eskilstuna Guif Sweden Handbollsligan	32-22	W
08/03	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-33	L
02/03	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
25/02	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-33	L
16/02	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby IF HF vs IF Hallby HK?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Hammarby IF HF 75% · IF Hallby HK 25%).

How many points are expected in Hammarby IF HF vs IF Hallby HK?

The model estimates 61 total points (Hammarby IF HF 30.4 · IF Hallby HK 30.6).

Over or under 58.5 points?

Recent history points to over 58.5 points (65%).