Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: IK Savehof vs Hammarby IF HF

Team pages: Hammarby IF HF

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Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.6Total

IK Savehof31.7

Hammarby IF HF30.9

1X2

65% 35%

IK Savehof Hammarby IF HF

Recent form · 10 last

IK Savehof 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWLLLW

Hammarby IF HF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

IK Savehof 4–1–1 Hammarby IF HF (6 last)

IK Savehof43-36Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF33-38IK Savehof
IK Savehof31-31Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF30-29IK Savehof
IK Savehof28-26Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF26-28IK Savehof

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Savehof 1533 · Hammarby IF HF 1479

	IK Savehof	Hammarby IF HF
Our model	67%	33%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 62.6 points · Bet365 line 62.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.6IK Savehof 31.7 · Hammarby IF HF 30.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Savehof (rating 1533 vs 1479).
IK Savehof is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours IK Savehof: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	IK Savehof	Hammarby IF HF
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 30.3	30.8 / 30.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 33.2	31.8 / 31.6
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.6

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X7.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 61.25

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 18:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.60▼	Bet365 1.60
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.15 → 2.80▲	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:57 +6’	2.00	7.50	2.15
11:06 +13’	1.90▼	7.50	2.30▲
13:48 +34’	1.78▼	7.50	2.55▲
18:38 +2’	1.60▼	7.50	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Savehof 4–1–1 Hammarby IF HF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 European League Qualification	IK Savehof	43-36	Hammarby IF HF
20/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	33-38	IK Savehof
16/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	IK Savehof	31-31	Hammarby IF HF
13/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	30-29	IK Savehof
07/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	IK Savehof	28-26	Hammarby IF HF
01/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	26-28	IK Savehof

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Kristianstad	2	2	0	0	61	55	4
2	Lugi HF	2	2	0	0	56	53	4
3	Amo HK	2	1	1	0	62	60	3
4	OV Helsingborg	3	1	1	1	87	90	3
5	Ystads IF HF	1	1	0	0	36	26	2
6	Hammarby IF HF	2	1	0	1	65	60	2
7	Alingsas HK	2	1	0	1	62	58	2
8	IK Savehof	1	1	0	0	30	26	2
9	HK Malmo	2	1	0	1	61	59	2
10	Skanela IF	3	1	0	2	89	90	2
11	IFK Skovde HK	2	1	0	1	62	71	2
12	HIF Karlskrona	2	0	0	2	63	70	0
13	IF Hallby HK	2	0	0	2	56	63	0
14	Onnereds HK	2	0	0	2	54	63	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Savehof

WWWLDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-26	W
03/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	34-37	L
29/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-39	L
26/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	29-31	L
20/04	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	38-33	W
16/04	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
13/04	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
07/04	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	28-26	W
01/04	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	28-26	W
25/03	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-24	W

Hammarby IF HF

LWLLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	38-32	W
23/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
20/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	33-38	L
16/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
13/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
07/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
01/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
25/03	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-34	L
13/03	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	34-29	W
07/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Savehof vs Hammarby IF HF?

Our model gives 65% to IK Savehof.

How many points are expected in IK Savehof vs Hammarby IF HF?

The model estimates 62.6 total points (IK Savehof 31.7 · Hammarby IF HF 30.9).