Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: HK Malmo vs OV Helsingborg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.8Total

HK Malmo32.8

OV Helsingborg31

1X2

68% 32%

HK Malmo OV Helsingborg

Recent form · 10 last

HK Malmo 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLLL

OV Helsingborg 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWWWD

Head-to-head

HK Malmo 3–3 OV Helsingborg (6 last)

HK Malmo37-27OV Helsingborg
OV Helsingborg27-31HK Malmo
OV Helsingborg30-23HK Malmo
HK Malmo30-34OV Helsingborg
OV Helsingborg23-22HK Malmo
HK Malmo30-25OV Helsingborg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Malmo 1527 · OV Helsingborg 1491

	HK Malmo	OV Helsingborg
Our model	65%	35%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 63.8 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.8HK Malmo 32.8 · OV Helsingborg 31

Match keys

HK Malmo is a clear favourite (68% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HK Malmo	OV Helsingborg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.3 / 33	29.9 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.4 / 36.6	30.6 / 28.6
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.8

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X8.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.90

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.80

Under 63.51.95

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 64.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:00 +10’	1.45	8.00	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Malmo 3–0–3 OV Helsingborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	37-27	OV Helsingborg
19/11/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	27-31	HK Malmo
02/04/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	30-23	HK Malmo
31/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	30-34	OV Helsingborg
27/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	23-22	HK Malmo
24/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	30-25	OV Helsingborg

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ystads IF HF	1	1	0	0	36	26	2
2	Alingsas HK	1	1	0	0	34	28	2
3	Skanela IF	1	1	0	0	34	29	2
4	IK Savehof	1	1	0	0	30	26	2
5	IFK Kristianstad	1	1	0	0	28	27	2
6	Lugi HF	1	1	0	0	25	24	2
7	Amo HK	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
7	OV Helsingborg	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
9	Hammarby IF HF	1	0	0	1	27	28	0
10	IF Hallby HK	1	0	0	1	24	25	0
11	Onnereds HK	1	0	0	1	26	30	0
12	HK Malmo	1	0	0	1	29	34	0
13	HIF Karlskrona	1	0	0	1	28	34	0
14	IFK Skovde HK	1	0	0	1	26	36	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Malmo	OV Helsingborg
IFK Kristianstad	38-41 L	33-32 W
IK Savehof	37-34 W	29-35 L
Ystads IF HF	34-28 W	24-36 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HK Malmo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Malmo

WWWWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L
29/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	38-41	L
26/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L
23/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	42-35	W
20/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	34-39	L
03/05	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	37-34	W
29/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	39-27	W
26/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-29	W
19/04	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	34-28	W
16/04	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W

OV Helsingborg

LLLWLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-32	D
14/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	35-27	W
06/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
02/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-25	W
31/03	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	28-29	L
25/03	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-36	L
12/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	33-32	W
09/03	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	35-36	L
04/03	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-28	L
25/02	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	29-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Malmo vs OV Helsingborg?

Our model gives 68% to HK Malmo.

How many points are expected in HK Malmo vs OV Helsingborg?

The model estimates 63.8 total points (HK Malmo 32.8 · OV Helsingborg 31).