Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: Amo HK vs Alingsas HK

Team pages: Alingsas HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.6Total

Amo HK29.5

Alingsas HK31.2

1X2

39% 61%

Amo HK Alingsas HK

Recent form · 10 last

Amo HK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLWLD

Alingsas HK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDLDLW

Head-to-head

Amo HK 1–1–4 Alingsas HK (6 last)

Amo HK27-32Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK34-30Amo HK
Amo HK34-31Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK35-35Amo HK
Amo HK38-39Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK40-36Amo HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amo HK 1478 · Alingsas HK 1550

	Amo HK	Alingsas HK
Our model	50%	50%
Market	28%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 60.6 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.6Amo HK 29.5 · Alingsas HK 31.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alingsas HK (rating 1478 vs 1550).
H2H favours Alingsas HK: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Amo HK	Alingsas HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 32.6	28.3 / 27.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 33	29.2 / 29.2
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.6

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.20

X7.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)2.00

2 (-1.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 0 · Est. total: 59.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +6’	3.20	7.50	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Amo HK 1–1–4 Alingsas HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Amo HK	27-32	Alingsas HK
25/09/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	34-30	Amo HK
26/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Amo HK	34-31	Alingsas HK
17/11/24 European League Qualification	Alingsas HK	35-35	Amo HK
02/11/24 European League Qualification	Amo HK	38-39	Alingsas HK
30/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	40-36	Amo HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ystads IF HF	1	1	0	0	36	26	2
2	Alingsas HK	1	1	0	0	34	28	2
3	Skanela IF	1	1	0	0	34	29	2
4	IK Savehof	1	1	0	0	30	26	2
5	IFK Kristianstad	1	1	0	0	28	27	2
6	Lugi HF	1	1	0	0	25	24	2
7	Amo HK	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
7	OV Helsingborg	1	0	1	0	32	32	1
9	Hammarby IF HF	1	0	0	1	27	28	0
10	IF Hallby HK	1	0	0	1	24	25	0
11	Onnereds HK	1	0	0	1	26	30	0
12	HK Malmo	1	0	0	1	29	34	0
13	HIF Karlskrona	1	0	0	1	28	34	0
14	IFK Skovde HK	1	0	0	1	26	36	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amo HK	Alingsas HK
HIF Karlskrona	39-34 W	34-28 W
IFK Skovde HK	25-32 L	18-17 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Alingsas HK (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amo HK

LLWLDLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-32	D
25/03	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
13/03	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	39-34	W
09/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	33-35	L
04/03	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-32	L
22/02	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	35-35	D
13/02	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
09/02	Eskilstuna Guif Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
04/02	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	29-32	L
29/12	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	32-34	L

Alingsas HK

LWWWDDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-28	W
08/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
06/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-30	D
02/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	24-25	L
29/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
23/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
15/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	18-17	W
12/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
07/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	36-26	W
01/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	23-25	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amo HK vs Alingsas HK?

Our model gives 61% to Alingsas HK.

How many points are expected in Amo HK vs Alingsas HK?

The model estimates 60.6 total points (Amo HK 29.5 · Alingsas HK 31.2).