Handball · France Starligue · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: Pays d'Aix UC vs Selestat Alsace HB

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61Total

Pays d'Aix UC31.7

Selestat Alsace HB29.3

1X2

76% 24%

Pays d'Aix UC Selestat Alsace HB

Recent form · 10 last

Pays d'Aix UC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLWLW

Selestat Alsace HB 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLWWD

Head-to-head

Pays d'Aix UC 5–1 Selestat Alsace HB (6 last)

Pays d'Aix UC31-29Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB24-31Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC25-31Selestat Alsace HB
Pays d'Aix UC40-34Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB26-29Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC33-28Selestat Alsace HB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pays d'Aix UC 1512 · Selestat Alsace HB 1452

	Pays d'Aix UC	Selestat Alsace HB
Our model	68%	32%
Market	74%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 61 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61Pays d'Aix UC 31.7 · Selestat Alsace HB 29.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pays d'Aix UC (rating 1512 vs 1452).
Pays d'Aix UC is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Pays d'Aix UC: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pays d'Aix UC	Selestat Alsace HB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.1 / 30.5	29.6 / 31.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 31.8	31 / 30
Est. result	32	29

Est. total61

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X10.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)2.05

2 (+4.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 61.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:41 +8’	1.27	10.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pays d'Aix UC 5–0–1 Selestat Alsace HB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/03/26 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	31-29	Selestat Alsace HB
29/11/25 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	24-31	Pays d'Aix UC
24/02/23 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	25-31	Selestat Alsace HB
15/11/22 France Cup	Pays d'Aix UC	40-34	Selestat Alsace HB
23/09/22 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	26-29	Pays d'Aix UC
08/03/17 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	33-28	Selestat Alsace HB

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Caen Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cesson Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chambery Savoie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chartres Metropole HB 28	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Limoges HB 87	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	PSG Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pays d'Aix UC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Saint Raphael	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Saran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Selestat Alsace HB	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tremblay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USAM Nimes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pays d'Aix UC	Selestat Alsace HB
Dijon	38-32 W	32-27 W
Istres Provence	31-35 L	23-27 L
Tremblay	30-31 L	34-38 L
Saint Raphael	26-31 L	28-31 L
USAM Nimes	37-35 W	33-28 W
Dunkerque	33-22 W	30-30 D
Nantes	28-29 L	32-33 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pays d'Aix UC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pays d'Aix UC

LWWLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Dijon France Starligue	38-32	W
02/06	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-35	L
29/05	Toulouse France Starligue	38-31	W
09/05	Tremblay France Starligue	30-31	L
02/05	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	27-30	L
24/04	Montpellier France Starligue	33-29	W
17/04	Saint Raphael France Starligue	26-31	L
10/04	USAM Nimes France Starligue	37-35	W
03/04	Dunkerque France Starligue	33-22	W
28/03	Nantes France Starligue	28-29	L

Selestat Alsace HB

LLLLLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Dijon France Starligue	32-27	W
27/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	37-31	W
10/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	23-34	L
01/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-28	W
26/04	Saint Raphael France Starligue	28-31	L
17/04	Tremblay France Starligue	34-38	L
10/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	23-27	L
04/04	Nantes France Starligue	32-33	L
29/03	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	24-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pays d'Aix UC vs Selestat Alsace HB?

Our model gives 76% to Pays d'Aix UC.

How many points are expected in Pays d'Aix UC vs Selestat Alsace HB?

The model estimates 61 total points (Pays d'Aix UC 31.7 · Selestat Alsace HB 29.3).