Handball · France Starligue · 11/09, 20:00

Prediction: Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs Tremblay

Team pages: Chartres Metropole HB 28 · Tremblay

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.7Total

Chartres Metropole HB 2832.4

Tremblay34.3

1X2

42% 58%

Chartres Metropole HB 28 Tremblay

Markets

Over 62.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Chartres Metropole HB 28 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDWLL

Tremblay 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Chartres Metropole HB 28 3–1–2 Tremblay (6 last)

Tremblay35-35Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2828-34Tremblay
Chartres Metropole HB 2830-25Tremblay
Tremblay31-30Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2833-29Tremblay
Tremblay23-28Chartres Metropole HB 28

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chartres Metropole HB 28 1462 · Tremblay 1490

	Chartres Metropole HB 28	Tremblay
Our model	56%	44%
Market	28%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 66.7 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.7Chartres Metropole HB 28 32.4 · Tremblay 34.3

Over / Under 62.5Over · 75%recent trend · ~65 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Chartres Metropole HB 28: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chartres Metropole HB 28	Tremblay
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.9 / 35.6	33.7 / 36.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 36.6	32.2 / 36.4
Est. result	32	34

Est. total66.7

Line O/U62.5

Diff.4.2

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

X8.50

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 4.8 · Est. total: 67.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:20 +29’	3.30	8.50	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chartres Metropole HB 28 3–1–2 Tremblay

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 France Starligue	Tremblay	35-35	Chartres Metropole HB 28
12/12/25 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	28-34	Tremblay
21/02/25 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	30-25	Tremblay
22/11/24 France Starligue	Tremblay	31-30	Chartres Metropole HB 28
28/05/21 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	33-29	Tremblay
03/12/20 France Starligue	Tremblay	23-28	Chartres Metropole HB 28

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montpellier	1	1	0	41	22	2
2	Nantes	1	1	0	38	28	2
3	Limoges HB 87	1	1	0	36	31	2
4	PSG Handball	1	1	0	32	29	2
5	Pays d'Aix UC	1	1	0	34	32	2
5	USAM Nimes	1	1	0	34	32	2
7	USM Saran	1	1	0	27	25	2
8	Caen Handball	1	1	0	26	24	2
9	Cesson Rennes	1	0	1	32	34	0
9	Selestat Alsace HB	1	0	1	32	34	0
11	Toulouse	1	0	1	25	27	0
12	Dunkerque	1	0	1	24	26	0
13	Chambery Savoie	1	0	1	29	32	0
14	Saint Raphael	1	0	1	31	36	0
15	Tremblay	1	0	1	28	38	0
16	Chartres Metropole HB 28	1	0	1	22	41	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chartres Metropole HB 28	Tremblay
Montpellier	22-41 L	36-35 W
Saint Raphael	30-37 L	36-44 L
Limoges HB 87	30-39 L	34-37 L
PSG Handball	20-40 L	31-35 L
Chambery Savoie	31-34 L	33-36 L
Toulouse	33-32 W	35-40 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tremblay (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chartres Metropole HB 28

WLLLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Montpellier France Starligue	22-41	L
06/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	30-37	L
02/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-31	W
26/05	Tremblay France Starligue	35-35	D
08/05	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	30-39	L
03/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	20-40	L
24/04	Dijon France Starligue	23-28	L
17/04	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	31-34	L
12/04	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	32-39	L
03/04	Toulouse France Starligue	33-32	W

Tremblay

WLWLLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Nantes France Starligue	28-38	L
06/06	PSG Handball France Starligue	31-35	L
03/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-44	L
26/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-35	D
09/05	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	31-30	W
01/05	Toulouse France Starligue	35-40	L
24/04	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	34-37	L
17/04	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	38-34	W
10/04	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	33-36	L
04/04	Montpellier France Starligue	36-35	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs Tremblay?

Our model gives 58% to Tremblay.

How many points are expected in Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs Tremblay?

The model estimates 66.7 total points (Chartres Metropole HB 28 32.4 · Tremblay 34.3).

Over or under 62.5 points?

Recent history points to over 62.5 points (75%).