Handball · France Starligue · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: USAM Nimes vs Montpellier

Team pages: USAM Nimes · Montpellier

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.1Total

USAM Nimes30.8

Montpellier33.3

1X2

36% 64%

USAM Nimes Montpellier

Recent form · 10 last

USAM Nimes 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDDLLW

Montpellier 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

USAM Nimes 2–4 Montpellier (6 last)

Montpellier34-30USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes30-29Montpellier
USAM Nimes30-28Montpellier
USAM Nimes22-28Montpellier
Montpellier38-32USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes16-27Montpellier

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USAM Nimes 1478 · Montpellier 1504

	USAM Nimes	Montpellier
Our model	56%	44%
Market	21%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 64.1 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.1USAM Nimes 30.8 · Montpellier 33.3

Match keys

H2H favours Montpellier: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	USAM Nimes	Montpellier
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.9 / 32.5	34.7 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.4 / 32.2	35 / 30.4
Est. result	31	33

Est. total64.1

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.50

X9.50

21.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.80

2 (-3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 2.1 · Est. total: 64.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.35 → 1.35	Bet365 1.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:50 +2’	4.50	9.50	1.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · USAM Nimes 2–0–4 Montpellier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 France Starligue	Montpellier	34-30	USAM Nimes
15/11/25 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	30-29	Montpellier
03/06/25 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	30-28	Montpellier
10/12/24 France Cup	USAM Nimes	22-28	Montpellier
26/10/24 France Starligue	Montpellier	38-32	USAM Nimes
03/03/24 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	16-27	Montpellier

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montpellier	1	1	0	41	22	2
2	Nantes	1	1	0	38	28	2
3	Limoges HB 87	1	1	0	36	31	2
4	PSG Handball	1	1	0	32	29	2
5	Pays d'Aix UC	1	1	0	34	32	2
5	USAM Nimes	1	1	0	34	32	2
7	USM Saran	1	1	0	27	25	2
8	Caen Handball	1	1	0	26	24	2
9	Cesson Rennes	1	0	1	32	34	0
9	Selestat Alsace HB	1	0	1	32	34	0
11	Toulouse	1	0	1	25	27	0
12	Dunkerque	1	0	1	24	26	0
13	Chambery Savoie	1	0	1	29	32	0
14	Saint Raphael	1	0	1	31	36	0
15	Tremblay	1	0	1	28	38	0
16	Chartres Metropole HB 28	1	0	1	22	41	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USAM Nimes	Montpellier
Cesson Rennes	34-32 W	36-34 W
Chartres Metropole HB 28	31-33 L	41-22 W
Dunkerque	31-31 D	38-27 W
Toulouse	28-39 L	29-28 W
Pays d'Aix UC	35-37 L	29-33 L
Dijon	25-28 L	38-28 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USAM Nimes

LLWLLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	34-32	W
06/06	Montpellier France Starligue	30-34	L
02/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	31-33	L
29/05	Dunkerque France Starligue	31-31	D
07/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	31-31	D
01/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	28-33	L
25/04	Toulouse France Starligue	28-39	L
19/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	36-27	W
10/04	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	35-37	L
03/04	Dijon France Starligue	25-28	L

Montpellier

LWLLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	41-22	W
06/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-30	W
03/06	Toulouse France Starligue	29-28	W
26/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	35-38	L
08/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	36-34	W
01/05	Dijon France Starligue	38-28	W
24/04	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-33	L
19/04	Nantes France Starligue	32-35	L
11/04	Dunkerque France Starligue	38-27	W
04/04	Tremblay France Starligue	35-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USAM Nimes vs Montpellier?

Our model gives 64% to Montpellier.

How many points are expected in USAM Nimes vs Montpellier?

The model estimates 64.1 total points (USAM Nimes 30.8 · Montpellier 33.3).