Handball · France Starligue · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: PSG Handball vs Cesson Rennes

Team pages: PSG Handball · Cesson Rennes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.7Total

PSG Handball34.3

Cesson Rennes29.4

1X2

89% 11%

PSG Handball Cesson Rennes

Recent form · 10 last

PSG Handball 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Cesson Rennes 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

PSG Handball 6–0 Cesson Rennes (6 last)

Cesson Rennes31-34PSG Handball
PSG Handball34-28Cesson Rennes
PSG Handball38-33Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes29-42PSG Handball
PSG Handball35-29Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes24-27PSG Handball

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PSG Handball 1651 · Cesson Rennes 1461

	PSG Handball	Cesson Rennes
Our model	82%	18%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 63.7 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.7PSG Handball 34.3 · Cesson Rennes 29.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG Handball (rating 1651 vs 1461).
PSG Handball is a clear favourite (89% market).
H2H favours PSG Handball: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	PSG Handball	Cesson Rennes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.6 / 28	31.2 / 31.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 28.4	30.2 / 34.6
Est. result	34	29

Est. total63.7

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.05

X20.00

216.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.88

2 (+7.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 62.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.05 → 1.05	Bet365 1.05
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:16 +36’	1.05	20.00	16.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PSG Handball 6–0–0 Cesson Rennes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	31-34	PSG Handball
10/12/25 France Cup	PSG Handball	34-28	Cesson Rennes
26/10/25 France Starligue	PSG Handball	38-33	Cesson Rennes
18/04/25 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	29-42	PSG Handball
01/12/24 France Starligue	PSG Handball	35-29	Cesson Rennes
17/04/24 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	24-27	PSG Handball

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montpellier	1	1	0	41	22	2
2	Nantes	1	1	0	38	28	2
3	Limoges HB 87	1	1	0	36	31	2
4	PSG Handball	1	1	0	32	29	2
5	Pays d'Aix UC	1	1	0	34	32	2
5	USAM Nimes	1	1	0	34	32	2
7	USM Saran	1	1	0	27	25	2
8	Caen Handball	1	1	0	26	24	2
9	Cesson Rennes	1	0	1	32	34	0
9	Selestat Alsace HB	1	0	1	32	34	0
11	Toulouse	1	0	1	25	27	0
12	Dunkerque	1	0	1	24	26	0
13	Chambery Savoie	1	0	1	29	32	0
14	Saint Raphael	1	0	1	31	36	0
15	Tremblay	1	0	1	28	38	0
16	Chartres Metropole HB 28	1	0	1	22	41	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PSG Handball	Cesson Rennes
Nantes	34-31 W	26-35 L
Selestat Alsace HB	34-23 W	31-37 L
Chartres Metropole HB 28	40-20 W	39-32 W
Limoges HB 87	32-28 W	30-28 W
Istres Provence	40-25 W	31-30 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PSG Handball (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PSG Handball

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	32-29	W
06/06	Tremblay France Starligue	35-31	W
02/06	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-28	W
27/05	Nantes France Starligue	34-31	W
10/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	34-23	W
03/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	40-20	W
24/04	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	34-31	W
18/04	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	32-28	W
12/04	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-34	W
05/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	40-25	W

Cesson Rennes

WWWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Toulouse France Starligue	28-31	L
03/06	Nantes France Starligue	26-35	L
27/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	31-37	L
08/05	Montpellier France Starligue	34-36	L
30/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-30	W
24/04	PSG Handball France Starligue	31-34	L
16/04	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-22	W
12/04	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	39-32	W
03/04	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	30-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PSG Handball vs Cesson Rennes?

Our model gives 89% to PSG Handball.

How many points are expected in PSG Handball vs Cesson Rennes?

The model estimates 63.7 total points (PSG Handball 34.3 · Cesson Rennes 29.4).