Handball · France Starligue · 04/09, 20:00

Prediction: Limoges HB 87 vs Saint Raphael

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66Total

Limoges HB 8732.5

Saint Raphael33.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

60% 40%

Limoges HB 87 Saint Raphael

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 63.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Limoges HB 87 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWLWL

Saint Raphael 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Limoges HB 87 3–1–2 Saint Raphael (6 last)

Limoges HB 8731-32Saint Raphael
Saint Raphael29-31Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8733-27Saint Raphael
Limoges HB 8730-30Saint Raphael
Saint Raphael35-33Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8734-31Saint Raphael

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Limoges HB 87 1526 · Saint Raphael 1557

	Limoges HB 87	Saint Raphael
Our model	56%	44%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 66 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66Limoges HB 87 32.5 · Saint Raphael 33.4

Over / Under 63.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~66.9 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Limoges HB 87: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Limoges HB 87	Saint Raphael
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.9 / 32.4	34.8 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.8 / 33.4	37.4 / 30
Est. result	33	33

Est. total66

Line O/U63.5

Diff.2.5

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.67

X8.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 2.6 · Est. total: 66.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67
X	8.50 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	3.10 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:39 +9’	1.62	8.50	3.10
10:34 +14’	1.67▲	8.00▼	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Limoges HB 87 3–1–2 Saint Raphael

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	31-32	Saint Raphael
25/10/25 France Starligue	Saint Raphael	29-31	Limoges HB 87
29/03/25 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	33-27	Saint Raphael
06/02/25 France Cup	Limoges HB 87	30-30	Saint Raphael
18/10/24 France Starligue	Saint Raphael	35-33	Limoges HB 87
02/03/24 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	34-31	Saint Raphael

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Caen Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cesson Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chambery Savoie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chartres Metropole HB 28	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Limoges HB 87	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	PSG Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pays d'Aix UC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Saint Raphael	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Saran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Selestat Alsace HB	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tremblay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USAM Nimes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Limoges HB 87	Saint Raphael
Dunkerque	35-32 W	32-22 W
Chambery Savoie	35-37 L	33-36 L
Chartres Metropole HB 28	39-30 W	37-30 W
Pays d'Aix UC	30-27 W	31-26 W
Tremblay	37-34 W	44-36 W
PSG Handball	28-32 L	34-36 L
Toulouse	37-31 W	36-27 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Saint Raphael (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Limoges HB 87

WLWLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Nantes France Starligue	35-41	L
02/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	35-32	W
28/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	35-37	L
08/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	39-30	W
02/05	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	30-27	W
24/04	Tremblay France Starligue	37-34	W
18/04	PSG Handball France Starligue	28-32	L
10/04	Dijon France Starligue	35-30	W
03/04	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	28-30	L
27/03	Toulouse France Starligue	37-31	W

Saint Raphael

LLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	37-30	W
03/06	Tremblay France Starligue	44-36	W
26/05	Montpellier France Starligue	38-35	W
08/05	Toulouse France Starligue	36-27	W
01/05	Dunkerque France Starligue	32-22	W
26/04	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	31-28	W
17/04	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	31-26	W
12/04	PSG Handball France Starligue	34-36	L
05/04	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	33-36	L
27/03	Istres Provence France Starligue	32-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Limoges HB 87 vs Saint Raphael?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Limoges HB 87 60% · Saint Raphael 40%).

How many points are expected in Limoges HB 87 vs Saint Raphael?

The model estimates 66 total points (Limoges HB 87 32.5 · Saint Raphael 33.4).

Over or under 63.5 points?

Recent history points to over 63.5 points (65%).