Handball · France Starligue · 04/09, 20:00

Prediction: Montpellier vs Chartres Metropole HB 28

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.9Total

Montpellier33.7

Chartres Metropole HB 2830.2

1X2

82% 18%

Montpellier Chartres Metropole HB 28

Recent form · 10 last

Montpellier 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWLWW

Chartres Metropole HB 28 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLDWL

Head-to-head

Montpellier 6–0 Chartres Metropole HB 28 (6 last)

Montpellier37-30Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2829-33Montpellier
Montpellier37-30Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2823-34Montpellier
Montpellier39-36Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2822-38Montpellier

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montpellier 1507 · Chartres Metropole HB 28 1469

	Montpellier	Chartres Metropole HB 28
Our model	65%	35%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 63.9 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.9Montpellier 33.7 · Chartres Metropole HB 28 30.2

Match keys

Montpellier is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Montpellier: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Montpellier	Chartres Metropole HB 28
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.3 / 31.9	29.7 / 35.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.4 / 31.6	29.6 / 36.4
Est. result	34	30

Est. total63.9

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.05

X20.00

216.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.88

2 (+7.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.90

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 3.05 · Est. total: 65.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.05▼	Bet365 1.05
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	15.00 → 16.00▲	Bet365 16.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:40 +8’	1.06	20.00	15.00
12:25 +24’	1.05▼	20.00	16.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 6–0–0 Chartres Metropole HB 28

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 France Starligue	Montpellier	37-30	Chartres Metropole HB 28
12/09/25 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	29-33	Montpellier
25/04/25 France Starligue	Montpellier	37-30	Chartres Metropole HB 28
20/12/24 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	23-34	Montpellier
30/03/24 France Starligue	Montpellier	39-36	Chartres Metropole HB 28
07/09/23 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	22-38	Montpellier

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Caen Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cesson Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chambery Savoie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chartres Metropole HB 28	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Limoges HB 87	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	PSG Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pays d'Aix UC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Saint Raphael	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Saran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Selestat Alsace HB	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tremblay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USAM Nimes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montpellier	Chartres Metropole HB 28
USAM Nimes	34-30 W	33-31 W
Toulouse	29-28 W	33-32 W
Saint Raphael	35-38 L	30-37 L
Cesson Rennes	36-34 W	32-39 L
Dijon	38-28 W	23-28 L
Tremblay	35-36 L	35-35 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montpellier

WLWLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-30	W
03/06	Toulouse France Starligue	29-28	W
26/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	35-38	L
08/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	36-34	W
01/05	Dijon France Starligue	38-28	W
24/04	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-33	L
19/04	Nantes France Starligue	32-35	L
11/04	Dunkerque France Starligue	38-27	W
04/04	Tremblay France Starligue	35-36	L
27/03	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	37-30	W

Chartres Metropole HB 28

LWLLLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	30-37	L
02/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-31	W
26/05	Tremblay France Starligue	35-35	D
08/05	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	30-39	L
03/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	20-40	L
24/04	Dijon France Starligue	23-28	L
17/04	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	31-34	L
12/04	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	32-39	L
03/04	Toulouse France Starligue	33-32	W
27/03	Montpellier France Starligue	30-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Chartres Metropole HB 28?

Our model gives 82% to Montpellier.

How many points are expected in Montpellier vs Chartres Metropole HB 28?

The model estimates 63.9 total points (Montpellier 33.7 · Chartres Metropole HB 28 30.2).