Handball · France Starligue · 03/10, 19:00

Prediction: Montpellier vs Chambery Savoie

Team pages: Montpellier · Chambery Savoie

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65Total

Montpellier33.9

Chambery Savoie31.1

1X2

81% 19%

Montpellier Chambery Savoie

Recent form · 10 last

Montpellier 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWLW

Chambery Savoie 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Montpellier 5–1–0 Chambery Savoie (6 last)

Chambery Savoie31-35Montpellier
Montpellier28-21Chambery Savoie
Chambery Savoie25-36Montpellier
Montpellier37-25Chambery Savoie
Chambery Savoie30-30Montpellier
Montpellier32-26Chambery Savoie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montpellier 1553 · Chambery Savoie 1469

	Montpellier	Chambery Savoie
Our model	71%	29%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 65 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65Montpellier 33.9 · Chambery Savoie 31.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1553 vs 1469).
Montpellier is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours Montpellier: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Montpellier	Chambery Savoie
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.9 / 31.2	32 / 33.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.4 / 30.2	32 / 33.2
Est. result	34	31

Est. total65

Line O/U60.5

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

X12.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.78

2 (+4.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.95

Under 60.51.80

Diff.: 5.1 · Est. total: 65.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:21 +35’	1.18	12.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 5–1–0 Chambery Savoie

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 France Starligue	Chambery Savoie	31-35	Montpellier
20/09/25 France Starligue	Montpellier	28-21	Chambery Savoie
18/04/25 France Starligue	Chambery Savoie	25-36	Montpellier
18/10/24 France Starligue	Montpellier	37-25	Chambery Savoie
16/04/24 France Starligue	Chambery Savoie	30-30	Montpellier
17/09/23 France Starligue	Montpellier	32-26	Chambery Savoie

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	4	4	0	132	112	8
2	Nantes	4	3	1	141	117	6
3	Montpellier	4	3	1	148	121	6
4	USAM Nimes	4	3	1	126	126	6
5	USM Saran	4	3	1	114	107	6
6	Pays d'Aix UC	4	2	2	122	124	4
7	Limoges HB 87	4	2	2	135	119	4
8	Chartres Metropole HB 28	4	2	2	114	134	4
9	Selestat Alsace HB	4	2	2	120	128	4
10	Tremblay	4	2	2	138	134	4
11	Caen Handball	4	2	2	106	125	4
12	Toulouse	4	1	3	110	113	2
13	Chambery Savoie	4	1	3	130	138	2
14	Cesson Rennes	4	1	3	113	123	2
15	Saint Raphael	4	1	3	109	123	2
16	Dunkerque	4	0	4	103	117	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montpellier	Chambery Savoie
Selestat Alsace HB	38-30 W	32-33 L
Nantes	31-36 L	32-42 L
USAM Nimes	38-33 W	31-31 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montpellier

LWWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	38-30	W
20/09	Nantes France Starligue	31-36	L
13/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	38-33	W
04/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	41-22	W
06/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-30	W
03/06	Toulouse France Starligue	29-28	W
26/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	35-38	L
08/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	36-34	W
01/05	Dijon France Starligue	38-28	W
24/04	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-33	L

Chambery Savoie

WLDWLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Tremblay France Starligue	31-44	L
18/09	Dunkerque France Starligue	38-29	W
11/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	32-33	L
04/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	29-32	L
06/06	Istres Provence France Starligue	30-28	W
02/06	PSG Handball France Starligue	28-29	L
28/05	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	37-35	W
07/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	31-31	D
03/05	Nantes France Starligue	32-42	L
25/04	Dunkerque France Starligue	32-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Chambery Savoie?

Our model gives 81% to Montpellier.

How many points are expected in Montpellier vs Chambery Savoie?

The model estimates 65 total points (Montpellier 33.9 · Chambery Savoie 31.1).