Handball · France Starligue · 25/10, 16:00

Prediction: Saint Raphael vs PSG Handball

Team pages: Saint Raphael · PSG Handball

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.3Total

Saint Raphael30.2

PSG Handball34.1

1X2

24% 76%

Saint Raphael PSG Handball

Recent form · 10 last

Saint Raphael 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLLWL

PSG Handball 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Saint Raphael 0–6 PSG Handball (6 last)

PSG Handball36-34Saint Raphael
Saint Raphael25-33PSG Handball
Saint Raphael30-39PSG Handball
PSG Handball41-34Saint Raphael
PSG Handball37-29Saint Raphael
Saint Raphael38-45PSG Handball

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saint Raphael 1459 · PSG Handball 1622

	Saint Raphael	PSG Handball
Our model	37%	63%
Market	15%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 64.3 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.3Saint Raphael 30.2 · PSG Handball 34.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG Handball (rating 1459 vs 1622).
PSG Handball is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours PSG Handball: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saint Raphael	PSG Handball
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.6 / 32.6	33.8 / 28
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 32.8	35.6 / 27.4
Est. result	30	34

Est. total64.3

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X12.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.88

2 (-4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0 · Est. total: 63.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +7’	6.50	12.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint Raphael 0–0–6 PSG Handball

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 France Starligue	PSG Handball	36-34	Saint Raphael
14/09/25 France Starligue	Saint Raphael	25-33	PSG Handball
02/03/25 France Starligue	Saint Raphael	30-39	PSG Handball
20/12/24 France Starligue	PSG Handball	41-34	Saint Raphael
12/04/24 France Starligue	PSG Handball	37-29	Saint Raphael
16/12/23 France Starligue	Saint Raphael	38-45	PSG Handball

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	7	7	0	0	240	190	14
2	Nantes	7	6	0	1	244	203	12
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	234	205	10
4	USAM Nimes	7	5	0	2	228	228	10
5	Limoges HB 87	7	4	0	3	234	214	8
6	Chartres Metropole HB 28	7	3	1	3	204	224	7
7	Tremblay	7	3	1	3	231	227	7
8	Pays d'Aix UC	7	3	0	4	227	223	6
9	Selestat Alsace HB	7	3	0	4	208	217	6
10	Chambery Savoie	7	2	2	3	224	231	6
11	Caen Handball	7	3	0	4	198	235	6
12	USM Saran	7	3	0	4	202	216	6
13	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	198	202	6
14	Saint Raphael	7	2	0	5	207	225	4
15	Cesson Rennes	7	1	0	6	209	227	2
16	Dunkerque	7	1	0	6	175	196	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saint Raphael	PSG Handball
Toulouse	31-35 L	30-23 W
Cesson Rennes	37-34 W	30-24 W
Caen Handball	30-33 L	42-28 W
USM Saran	22-26 L	36-27 W
Tremblay	30-36 L	35-31 W
Limoges HB 87	31-36 L	35-33 W
Chartres Metropole HB 28	37-30 W	35-26 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: PSG Handball (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saint Raphael

WWWLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Toulouse France Starligue	31-35	L
09/10	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	37-34	W
02/10	Caen Handball France Starligue	30-33	L
25/09	USM Saran France Starligue	22-26	L
18/09	Tremblay France Starligue	30-36	L
11/09	Dunkerque France Starligue	26-25	W
04/09	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	31-36	L
06/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	37-30	W
03/06	Tremblay France Starligue	44-36	W
26/05	Montpellier France Starligue	38-35	W

PSG Handball

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Caen Handball France Starligue	42-28	W
10/10	Toulouse France Starligue	30-23	W
01/10	USM Saran France Starligue	36-27	W
26/09	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	35-33	W
20/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-26	W
12/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	30-24	W
04/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	32-29	W
06/06	Tremblay France Starligue	35-31	W
02/06	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-28	W
27/05	Nantes France Starligue	34-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saint Raphael vs PSG Handball?

Our model gives 76% to PSG Handball.

How many points are expected in Saint Raphael vs PSG Handball?

The model estimates 64.3 total points (Saint Raphael 30.2 · PSG Handball 34.1).