Handball · France Starligue · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Limoges HB 87 vs Dunkerque

Team pages: Limoges HB 87 · Dunkerque

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.6Total

Limoges HB 8731.8

Dunkerque28.8

1X2

77% 23%

Limoges HB 87 Dunkerque

Recent form · 10 last

Limoges HB 87 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLWWL

Dunkerque 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Limoges HB 87 5–1–0 Dunkerque (6 last)

Dunkerque32-35Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8739-29Dunkerque
Dunkerque27-34Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8737-34Dunkerque
Limoges HB 8732-32Dunkerque
Dunkerque31-38Limoges HB 87

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Limoges HB 87 1541 · Dunkerque 1459

	Limoges HB 87	Dunkerque
Our model	71%	29%
Market	74%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 60.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.6Limoges HB 87 31.8 · Dunkerque 28.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Limoges HB 87 (rating 1541 vs 1459).
Limoges HB 87 is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Limoges HB 87: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Limoges HB 87	Dunkerque
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.9 / 32.4	26.8 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34 / 30.6	25.2 / 28.8
Est. result	32	29

Est. total60.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X10.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.80

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 61.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	9.50 → 10.00▲	Bet365 10.00
2	4.25 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:52 +23’	1.37	9.50	4.25
22:16	1.35▼	9.50	4.50▲
10:14 +2’	1.27▼	10.00▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Limoges HB 87 5–1–0 Dunkerque

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 France Starligue	Dunkerque	32-35	Limoges HB 87
19/09/25 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	39-29	Dunkerque
07/06/25 France Starligue	Dunkerque	27-34	Limoges HB 87
11/09/24 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	37-34	Dunkerque
17/05/24 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	32-32	Dunkerque
16/12/23 France Starligue	Dunkerque	31-38	Limoges HB 87

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	7	7	0	0	240	190	14
2	Nantes	7	6	0	1	244	203	12
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	234	205	10
4	USAM Nimes	7	5	0	2	228	228	10
5	Limoges HB 87	7	4	0	3	234	214	8
6	Chartres Metropole HB 28	7	3	1	3	204	224	7
7	Tremblay	7	3	1	3	231	227	7
8	Pays d'Aix UC	7	3	0	4	227	223	6
9	Selestat Alsace HB	7	3	0	4	208	217	6
10	Chambery Savoie	7	2	2	3	224	231	6
11	Caen Handball	7	3	0	4	198	235	6
12	USM Saran	7	3	0	4	202	216	6
13	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	198	202	6
14	Saint Raphael	7	2	0	5	207	225	4
15	Cesson Rennes	7	1	0	6	209	227	2
16	Dunkerque	7	1	0	6	175	196	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Limoges HB 87	Dunkerque
USAM Nimes	35-31 W	25-27 L
Caen Handball	38-23 W	24-26 L
Saint Raphael	36-31 W	25-26 L
Nantes	35-41 L	24-31 L
Chambery Savoie	35-37 L	29-38 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Limoges HB 87 (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Limoges HB 87

LWLWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Montpellier France Starligue	33-35	L
10/10	USAM Nimes France Starligue	35-31	W
03/10	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-29	W
26/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	33-35	L
18/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	38-23	W
10/09	USM Saran France Starligue	28-30	L
04/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-31	W
06/06	Nantes France Starligue	35-41	L
02/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	35-32	W
28/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	35-37	L

Dunkerque

DLDLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	25-27	L
11/10	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	23-21	W
03/10	Nantes France Starligue	24-31	L
25/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	25-27	L
18/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-38	L
11/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	25-26	L
06/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	24-26	L
06/06	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	32-35	L
29/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	31-31	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Limoges HB 87 vs Dunkerque?

Our model gives 77% to Limoges HB 87.

How many points are expected in Limoges HB 87 vs Dunkerque?

The model estimates 60.6 total points (Limoges HB 87 31.8 · Dunkerque 28.8).