Handball · France Starligue · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs USAM Nimes

Team pages: Chartres Metropole HB 28 · USAM Nimes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.4Total

Chartres Metropole HB 2831.6

USAM Nimes31.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Chartres Metropole HB 28 USAM Nimes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Chartres Metropole HB 28 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLWLDW

USAM Nimes 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Chartres Metropole HB 28 2–4 USAM Nimes (6 last)

Chartres Metropole HB 2833-31USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes25-29Chartres Metropole HB 28
USAM Nimes30-22Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2827-31USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes31-29Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2827-30USAM Nimes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chartres Metropole HB 28 1543 · USAM Nimes 1533

	Chartres Metropole HB 28	USAM Nimes
Our model	61%	39%
Market	47%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 63.4 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.4Chartres Metropole HB 28 31.6 · USAM Nimes 31.8

Match keys

H2H favours USAM Nimes: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chartres Metropole HB 28	USAM Nimes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 32.7	32 / 32.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 30.6	32.2 / 31.6
Est. result	32	32

Est. total63.4

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

X8.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 63.75

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 23:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.00▲	Bet365 2.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +9’	1.95	8.00	2.30
20:59 +19’	2.00▲	8.00	2.25▼
22:10 +7’	1.95▼	8.00	2.30▲
22:31 +44’	2.00▲	8.00	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chartres Metropole HB 28 2–0–4 USAM Nimes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	33-31	USAM Nimes
24/10/25 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	25-29	Chartres Metropole HB 28
14/02/25 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	30-22	Chartres Metropole HB 28
15/11/24 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	27-31	USAM Nimes
26/04/24 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	31-29	Chartres Metropole HB 28
15/12/23 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	27-30	USAM Nimes

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	7	7	0	0	240	190	14
2	Nantes	7	6	0	1	244	203	12
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	234	205	10
4	USAM Nimes	7	5	0	2	228	228	10
5	Limoges HB 87	7	4	0	3	234	214	8
6	Chartres Metropole HB 28	7	3	1	3	204	224	7
7	Tremblay	7	3	1	3	231	227	7
8	Pays d'Aix UC	7	3	0	4	227	223	6
9	Selestat Alsace HB	7	3	0	4	208	217	6
10	Chambery Savoie	7	2	2	3	224	231	6
11	Caen Handball	7	3	0	4	198	235	6
12	USM Saran	7	3	0	4	202	216	6
13	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	198	202	6
14	Saint Raphael	7	2	0	5	207	225	4
15	Cesson Rennes	7	1	0	6	209	227	2
16	Dunkerque	7	1	0	6	175	196	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chartres Metropole HB 28	USAM Nimes
Dunkerque	27-25 W	27-25 W
Cesson Rennes	31-28 W	34-32 W
Tremblay	35-30 W	36-34 W
Montpellier	22-41 L	33-38 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chartres Metropole HB 28 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chartres Metropole HB 28

DWLLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Dunkerque France Starligue	27-25	W
09/10	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	35-35	D
04/10	Toulouse France Starligue	28-30	L
25/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-28	W
20/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	26-35	L
11/09	Tremblay France Starligue	35-30	W
04/09	Montpellier France Starligue	22-41	L
06/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	30-37	L
02/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-31	W
26/05	Tremblay France Starligue	35-35	D

USAM Nimes

DLLWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Tremblay France Starligue	36-34	W
10/10	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	31-35	L
04/10	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	35-33	W
25/09	Dunkerque France Starligue	27-25	W
18/09	USM Saran France Starligue	32-31	W
13/09	Montpellier France Starligue	33-38	L
04/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	34-32	W
06/06	Montpellier France Starligue	30-34	L
02/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	31-33	L
29/05	Dunkerque France Starligue	31-31	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs USAM Nimes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Chartres Metropole HB 28 56% · USAM Nimes 44%).

How many points are expected in Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs USAM Nimes?

The model estimates 63.4 total points (Chartres Metropole HB 28 31.6 · USAM Nimes 31.8).