Handball · France Starligue · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: Tremblay vs Cesson Rennes

Team pages: Tremblay · Cesson Rennes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.3Total

Tremblay33.6

Cesson Rennes31.7

1X2

74% 26%

Tremblay Cesson Rennes

Recent form · 10 last

Tremblay 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWWWDL

Cesson Rennes 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Tremblay 3–1–2 Cesson Rennes (6 last)

Cesson Rennes31-32Tremblay
Tremblay34-32Cesson Rennes
Tremblay31-30Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes26-26Tremblay
Cesson Rennes30-29Tremblay
Tremblay26-27Cesson Rennes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tremblay 1528 · Cesson Rennes 1431

	Tremblay	Cesson Rennes
Our model	72%	28%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 65.3 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.3Tremblay 33.6 · Cesson Rennes 31.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tremblay (rating 1528 vs 1431).
Tremblay is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Tremblay: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tremblay	Cesson Rennes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.3 / 34.1	29.4 / 33
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.6 / 30.8	30.6 / 32.6
Est. result	34	32

Est. total65.3

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.40

X9.50

24.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.80

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 64.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.40▲	Bet365 1.40
X	10.00 → 9.50▼	Bet365 9.50
2	5.00 → 4.25▼	Bet365 4.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:23 +52’	1.32	10.00	5.00
00:15	1.40▲	9.50▼	4.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tremblay 3–1–2 Cesson Rennes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	31-32	Tremblay
07/11/25 France Starligue	Tremblay	34-32	Cesson Rennes
14/02/25 France Starligue	Tremblay	31-30	Cesson Rennes
25/10/24 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	26-26	Tremblay
29/08/24 Club Friendlies	Cesson Rennes	30-29	Tremblay
03/04/21 France Starligue	Tremblay	26-27	Cesson Rennes

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	7	7	0	0	240	190	14
2	Nantes	7	6	0	1	244	203	12
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	234	205	10
4	USAM Nimes	7	5	0	2	228	228	10
5	Limoges HB 87	7	4	0	3	234	214	8
6	Chartres Metropole HB 28	7	3	1	3	204	224	7
7	Tremblay	7	3	1	3	231	227	7
8	Pays d'Aix UC	7	3	0	4	227	223	6
9	Selestat Alsace HB	7	3	0	4	208	217	6
10	Chambery Savoie	7	2	2	3	224	231	6
11	Caen Handball	7	3	0	4	198	235	6
12	USM Saran	7	3	0	4	202	216	6
13	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	198	202	6
14	Saint Raphael	7	2	0	5	207	225	4
15	Cesson Rennes	7	1	0	6	209	227	2
16	Dunkerque	7	1	0	6	175	196	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tremblay	Cesson Rennes
USAM Nimes	34-36 L	32-34 L
Selestat Alsace HB	33-31 W	33-36 L
Saint Raphael	36-30 W	34-37 L
Chartres Metropole HB 28	30-35 L	28-31 L
Nantes	28-38 L	26-35 L
PSG Handball	31-35 L	24-30 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tremblay (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tremblay

DLLLLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-36	L
11/10	Montpellier France Starligue	26-26	D
02/10	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	33-31	W
25/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	44-31	W
18/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-30	W
11/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	30-35	L
05/09	Nantes France Starligue	28-38	L
06/06	PSG Handball France Starligue	31-35	L
03/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-44	L
26/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-35	D

Cesson Rennes

LLLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	33-36	L
09/10	Saint Raphael France Starligue	34-37	L
03/10	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	29-31	L
25/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	28-31	L
19/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-28	W
12/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	24-30	L
04/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Toulouse France Starligue	28-31	L
03/06	Nantes France Starligue	26-35	L
27/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	31-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tremblay vs Cesson Rennes?

Our model gives 74% to Tremblay.

How many points are expected in Tremblay vs Cesson Rennes?

The model estimates 65.3 total points (Tremblay 33.6 · Cesson Rennes 31.7).