Handball · France Starligue · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: PSG Handball vs Montpellier

Team pages: PSG Handball · Montpellier

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.7Total

PSG Handball31.9

Montpellier29.7

1X2

77% 23%

PSG Handball Montpellier

Recent form · 10 last

PSG Handball 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Montpellier 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDDWW

Head-to-head

PSG Handball 3–1–2 Montpellier (6 last)

PSG Handball21-20Montpellier
Montpellier39-35PSG Handball
Montpellier30-32PSG Handball
PSG Handball34-31Montpellier
PSG Handball23-29Montpellier
Montpellier33-33PSG Handball

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PSG Handball 1637 · Montpellier 1510

	PSG Handball	Montpellier
Our model	76%	24%
Market	71%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 61.7 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.7PSG Handball 31.9 · Montpellier 29.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG Handball (rating 1637 vs 1510).
PSG Handball is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours PSG Handball: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	PSG Handball	Montpellier
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.6 / 27.7	32.8 / 28.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	37 / 27.8	31 / 27.8
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.7

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X10.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.88

2 (+3.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 61.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +7’	1.32	10.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PSG Handball 3–1–2 Montpellier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 France Trophee des Champions	PSG Handball	21-20	Montpellier
15/04/26 France Coupe de la Ligue	Montpellier	39-35	PSG Handball
07/03/26 France Starligue	Montpellier	30-32	PSG Handball
22/11/25 France Starligue	PSG Handball	34-31	Montpellier
30/08/25 France Trophee des Champions	PSG Handball	23-29	Montpellier
31/05/25 France Starligue	Montpellier	33-33	PSG Handball

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	8	8	0	0	282	218	16
2	Nantes	8	7	0	1	285	232	14
3	Montpellier	8	5	2	1	265	230	12
4	USAM Nimes	8	6	0	2	261	260	12
5	Limoges HB 87	8	5	0	3	266	238	10
6	Tremblay	8	4	1	3	265	256	9
7	Pays d'Aix UC	8	4	0	4	259	249	8
8	Caen Handball	8	4	0	4	224	259	8
9	Chartres Metropole HB 28	8	3	1	4	236	257	7
10	Selestat Alsace HB	8	3	0	5	232	243	6
11	USM Saran	8	3	0	5	227	247	6
12	Chambery Savoie	8	2	2	4	253	272	6
13	Toulouse	8	3	0	5	224	234	6
14	Saint Raphael	8	2	0	6	235	267	4
15	Cesson Rennes	8	1	0	7	238	261	2
16	Dunkerque	8	1	0	7	199	228	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PSG Handball	Montpellier
Toulouse	30-23 W	29-28 W
USM Saran	36-27 W	31-25 W
Limoges HB 87	35-33 W	35-33 W
Chartres Metropole HB 28	35-26 W	41-22 W
Chambery Savoie	32-29 W	25-25 D
Tremblay	35-31 W	26-26 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: PSG Handball (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PSG Handball

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Saint Raphael France Starligue	42-28	W
17/10	Caen Handball France Starligue	42-28	W
10/10	Toulouse France Starligue	30-23	W
01/10	USM Saran France Starligue	36-27	W
26/09	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	35-33	W
20/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-26	W
12/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	30-24	W
04/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	32-29	W
06/06	Tremblay France Starligue	35-31	W
02/06	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-28	W

Montpellier

WWWWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	USM Saran France Starligue	31-25	W
18/10	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	35-33	W
11/10	Tremblay France Starligue	26-26	D
03/10	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	25-25	D
25/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	38-30	W
20/09	Nantes France Starligue	31-36	L
13/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	38-33	W
04/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	41-22	W
06/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-30	W
03/06	Toulouse France Starligue	29-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PSG Handball vs Montpellier?

Our model gives 77% to PSG Handball.

How many points are expected in PSG Handball vs Montpellier?

The model estimates 61.7 total points (PSG Handball 31.9 · Montpellier 29.7).