Handball · France Starligue · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: Cesson Rennes vs Nantes

Team pages: Cesson Rennes · Nantes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63Total

Cesson Rennes29.2

Nantes33.8

1X2

26% 74%

Cesson Rennes Nantes

Recent form · 10 last

Cesson Rennes 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLL

Nantes 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Cesson Rennes 0–6 Nantes (6 last)

Cesson Rennes26-35Nantes
Nantes43-30Cesson Rennes
Nantes33-22Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes23-34Nantes
Cesson Rennes26-36Nantes
Nantes32-26Cesson Rennes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesson Rennes 1460 · Nantes 1570

	Cesson Rennes	Nantes
Our model	44%	56%
Market	13%	80%

Estimated total (ours) 63 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63Cesson Rennes 29.2 · Nantes 33.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantes (rating 1460 vs 1570).
Nantes is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Nantes: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cesson Rennes	Nantes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.2 / 32.7	36.1 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 33.8	34.6 / 29
Est. result	29	34

Est. total63

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

17.50

X13.00

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)2.00

2 (-4.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 63.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:10 +6’	7.50	13.00	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesson Rennes 0–0–6 Nantes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	26-35	Nantes
13/12/25 France Starligue	Nantes	43-30	Cesson Rennes
30/05/25 France Starligue	Nantes	33-22	Cesson Rennes
20/12/24 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	23-34	Nantes
08/03/24 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	26-36	Nantes
16/09/23 France Starligue	Nantes	32-26	Cesson Rennes

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	8	8	0	0	282	218	16
2	Nantes	8	7	0	1	285	232	14
3	Montpellier	8	5	2	1	265	230	12
4	USAM Nimes	8	6	0	2	261	260	12
5	Limoges HB 87	8	5	0	3	266	238	10
6	Tremblay	8	4	1	3	265	256	9
7	Pays d'Aix UC	8	4	0	4	259	249	8
8	Caen Handball	8	4	0	4	224	259	8
9	Chartres Metropole HB 28	8	3	1	4	236	257	7
10	Selestat Alsace HB	8	3	0	5	232	243	6
11	USM Saran	8	3	0	5	227	247	6
12	Chambery Savoie	8	2	2	4	253	272	6
13	Toulouse	8	3	0	5	224	234	6
14	Saint Raphael	8	2	0	6	235	267	4
15	Cesson Rennes	8	1	0	7	238	261	2
16	Dunkerque	8	1	0	7	199	228	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cesson Rennes	Nantes
Tremblay	29-34 L	38-28 W
Limoges HB 87	29-31 L	41-35 W
Pays d'Aix UC	29-28 W	38-28 W
Toulouse	28-31 L	29-30 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nantes (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesson Rennes

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Tremblay France Starligue	29-34	L
16/10	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	33-36	L
09/10	Saint Raphael France Starligue	34-37	L
03/10	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	29-31	L
25/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	28-31	L
19/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-28	W
12/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	24-30	L
04/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Toulouse France Starligue	28-31	L
03/06	Nantes France Starligue	26-35	L

Nantes

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	41-29	W
17/10	USM Saran France Starligue	34-31	W
11/10	Caen Handball France Starligue	38-31	W
03/10	Dunkerque France Starligue	31-24	W
27/09	Toulouse France Starligue	29-30	L
20/09	Montpellier France Starligue	36-31	W
12/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	38-28	W
05/09	Tremblay France Starligue	38-28	W
06/06	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	41-35	W
03/06	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	35-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesson Rennes vs Nantes?

Our model gives 74% to Nantes.

How many points are expected in Cesson Rennes vs Nantes?

The model estimates 63 total points (Cesson Rennes 29.2 · Nantes 33.8).