Handball · France Starligue · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: USAM Nimes vs Selestat Alsace HB

Team pages: USAM Nimes · Selestat Alsace HB

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.9Total

USAM Nimes32

Selestat Alsace HB30.8

1X2

73% 27%

USAM Nimes Selestat Alsace HB

Markets

Over 60.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

USAM Nimes 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWLWW

Selestat Alsace HB 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLLWL

Head-to-head

USAM Nimes 5–1 Selestat Alsace HB (6 last)

Selestat Alsace HB33-28USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes29-27Selestat Alsace HB
USAM Nimes31-23Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB25-28USAM Nimes
Selestat Alsace HB27-30USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes31-20Selestat Alsace HB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USAM Nimes 1551 · Selestat Alsace HB 1482

	USAM Nimes	Selestat Alsace HB
Our model	69%	31%
Market	67%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 62.9 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.9USAM Nimes 32 · Selestat Alsace HB 30.8

Over / Under 60.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~62.8 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USAM Nimes (rating 1551 vs 1482).
USAM Nimes is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours USAM Nimes: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	USAM Nimes	Selestat Alsace HB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.2 / 32.7	29.4 / 30
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.4 / 31.8	28.4 / 30.6
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.9

Line O/U60.5

Diff.2.4

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

X9.00

24.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.90

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 62.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.42▲	Bet365 1.42
X	11.00 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00
2	7.00 → 4.25▼	Bet365 4.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:32 +44’	1.22	11.00	7.00
02:38 +38’	1.32▲	9.50▼	5.00▼
14:59 +20’	1.42▲	9.00▼	4.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · USAM Nimes 5–0–1 Selestat Alsace HB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	33-28	USAM Nimes
26/09/25 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	29-27	Selestat Alsace HB
02/06/23 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	31-23	Selestat Alsace HB
04/11/22 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	25-28	USAM Nimes
07/02/18 France Cup	Selestat Alsace HB	27-30	USAM Nimes
12/04/17 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	31-20	Selestat Alsace HB

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	8	8	0	0	282	218	16
2	Nantes	8	7	0	1	285	232	14
3	Montpellier	8	5	2	1	265	230	12
4	USAM Nimes	8	6	0	2	261	260	12
5	Limoges HB 87	8	5	0	3	266	238	10
6	Tremblay	8	4	1	3	265	256	9
7	Pays d'Aix UC	8	4	0	4	259	249	8
8	Caen Handball	8	4	0	4	224	259	8
9	Chartres Metropole HB 28	8	3	1	4	236	257	7
10	Selestat Alsace HB	8	3	0	5	232	243	6
11	USM Saran	8	3	0	5	227	247	6
12	Chambery Savoie	8	2	2	4	253	272	6
13	Toulouse	8	3	0	5	224	234	6
14	Saint Raphael	8	2	0	6	235	267	4
15	Cesson Rennes	8	1	0	7	238	261	2
16	Dunkerque	8	1	0	7	199	228	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USAM Nimes	Selestat Alsace HB
Tremblay	36-34 W	31-33 L
Pays d'Aix UC	35-33 W	32-34 L
Dunkerque	27-25 W	21-23 L
Montpellier	33-38 L	30-38 L
Cesson Rennes	34-32 W	36-33 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: USAM Nimes (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USAM Nimes

LLWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	33-32	W
16/10	Tremblay France Starligue	36-34	W
10/10	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	31-35	L
04/10	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	35-33	W
25/09	Dunkerque France Starligue	27-25	W
18/09	USM Saran France Starligue	32-31	W
13/09	Montpellier France Starligue	33-38	L
04/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	34-32	W
06/06	Montpellier France Starligue	30-34	L
02/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	31-33	L

Selestat Alsace HB

WDLWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Caen Handball France Starligue	24-26	L
16/10	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	36-33	W
11/10	Dunkerque France Starligue	21-23	L
02/10	Tremblay France Starligue	31-33	L
25/09	Montpellier France Starligue	30-38	L
17/09	Toulouse France Starligue	25-24	W
11/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	33-32	W
05/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Dijon France Starligue	32-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USAM Nimes vs Selestat Alsace HB?

Our model gives 73% to USAM Nimes.

How many points are expected in USAM Nimes vs Selestat Alsace HB?

The model estimates 62.9 total points (USAM Nimes 32 · Selestat Alsace HB 30.8).

Over or under 60.5 points?

Recent history points to over 60.5 points (70%).