Handball · France Starligue · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: Toulouse vs Limoges HB 87

Team pages: Toulouse · Limoges HB 87

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62Total

Toulouse30.4

Limoges HB 8731.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Toulouse Limoges HB 87

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 63.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Toulouse 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWLWL

Limoges HB 87 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWWLW

Head-to-head

Toulouse 4–1–1 Limoges HB 87 (6 last)

Toulouse31-37Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8730-35Toulouse
Toulouse35-32Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8728-29Toulouse
Toulouse29-29Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8729-32Toulouse

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toulouse 1512 · Limoges HB 87 1559

	Toulouse	Limoges HB 87
Our model	53%	47%
Market	33%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 62 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62Toulouse 30.4 · Limoges HB 87 31.6

Over / Under 63.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~61.6 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours Toulouse: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Toulouse	Limoges HB 87
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.3 / 29.1	33.6 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 30	32.8 / 30.8
Est. result	30	32

Est. total62

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.5

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.80

X8.00

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 61.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.88 → 2.80▲	Bet365 2.80
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.50 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:03 +12’	1.88	8.00	2.50
12:25 +51’	1.95▲	8.00	2.30▼
12:51 +27’	2.80▲	8.00	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Toulouse 4–1–1 Limoges HB 87

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 France Starligue	Toulouse	31-37	Limoges HB 87
28/11/25 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	30-35	Toulouse
01/06/25 France Starligue	Toulouse	35-32	Limoges HB 87
28/09/24 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	28-29	Toulouse
11/02/24 France Starligue	Toulouse	29-29	Limoges HB 87
20/10/23 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	29-32	Toulouse

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	8	8	0	0	282	218	16
2	Nantes	8	7	0	1	285	232	14
3	Montpellier	8	5	2	1	265	230	12
4	USAM Nimes	8	6	0	2	261	260	12
5	Limoges HB 87	8	5	0	3	266	238	10
6	Tremblay	8	4	1	3	265	256	9
7	Pays d'Aix UC	8	4	0	4	259	249	8
8	Caen Handball	8	4	0	4	224	259	8
9	Chartres Metropole HB 28	8	3	1	4	236	257	7
10	Selestat Alsace HB	8	3	0	5	232	243	6
11	USM Saran	8	3	0	5	227	247	6
12	Chambery Savoie	8	2	2	4	253	272	6
13	Toulouse	8	3	0	5	224	234	6
14	Saint Raphael	8	2	0	6	235	267	4
15	Cesson Rennes	8	1	0	7	238	261	2
16	Dunkerque	8	1	0	7	199	228	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Toulouse	Limoges HB 87
Saint Raphael	35-31 W	36-31 W
PSG Handball	23-30 L	33-35 L
Nantes	30-29 W	35-41 L
Caen Handball	31-32 L	38-23 W
USM Saran	25-27 L	28-30 L
Cesson Rennes	31-28 W	31-29 W
Montpellier	28-29 L	33-35 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toulouse

LWLLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	26-32	L
16/10	Saint Raphael France Starligue	35-31	W
10/10	PSG Handball France Starligue	23-30	L
04/10	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	30-28	W
27/09	Nantes France Starligue	30-29	W
17/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	24-25	L
11/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	31-32	L
05/09	USM Saran France Starligue	25-27	L
06/06	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-28	W
03/06	Montpellier France Starligue	28-29	L

Limoges HB 87

WLWLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Dunkerque France Starligue	32-24	W
18/10	Montpellier France Starligue	33-35	L
10/10	USAM Nimes France Starligue	35-31	W
03/10	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-29	W
26/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	33-35	L
18/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	38-23	W
10/09	USM Saran France Starligue	28-30	L
04/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-31	W
06/06	Nantes France Starligue	35-41	L
02/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	35-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toulouse vs Limoges HB 87?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Toulouse 44% · Limoges HB 87 56%).

How many points are expected in Toulouse vs Limoges HB 87?

The model estimates 62 total points (Toulouse 30.4 · Limoges HB 87 31.6).

Over or under 63.5 points?

Recent history points to under 63.5 points (70%).