Handball · France Starligue · 04/09, 20:30

Prediction: Cesson Rennes vs USAM Nimes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.8Total

Cesson Rennes32.5

USAM Nimes31.3

1X2

66% 34%

Cesson Rennes USAM Nimes

Markets

Over 58.5 points 90%

Recent form · 10 last

Cesson Rennes 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLLLL

USAM Nimes 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Cesson Rennes 3–2–1 USAM Nimes (6 last)

USAM Nimes31-28Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes35-31USAM Nimes
Cesson Rennes26-26USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes28-28Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes35-26USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes24-30Cesson Rennes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesson Rennes 1481 · USAM Nimes 1452

	Cesson Rennes	USAM Nimes
Our model	64%	36%
Market	59%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 63.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +5.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.8Cesson Rennes 32.5 · USAM Nimes 31.3

Match keys

Cesson Rennes is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Cesson Rennes: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cesson Rennes	USAM Nimes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.1 / 31.7	30.8 / 32.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 33.8	30.2 / 32.4
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.5.3

Over / Under90% / 10%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 4.65 · Est. total: 63.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.20 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:44 +4’	1.60	8.00	3.20
12:36 +13’	1.65▲	8.00	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesson Rennes 3–2–1 USAM Nimes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	31-28	Cesson Rennes
17/10/25 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	35-31	USAM Nimes
05/04/25 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	26-26	USAM Nimes
13/12/24 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	28-28	Cesson Rennes
08/02/24 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	35-26	USAM Nimes
27/10/23 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	24-30	Cesson Rennes

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Caen Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cesson Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chambery Savoie	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chartres Metropole HB 28	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Limoges HB 87	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	PSG Handball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pays d'Aix UC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Saint Raphael	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Saran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Selestat Alsace HB	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tremblay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USAM Nimes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cesson Rennes	USAM Nimes
Toulouse	28-31 L	28-39 L
Selestat Alsace HB	31-37 L	28-33 L
Montpellier	34-36 L	30-34 L
Istres Provence	31-30 W	36-27 W
PSG Handball	31-34 L	33-34 L
Dunkerque	30-22 W	31-31 D
Chartres Metropole HB 28	39-32 W	31-33 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Cesson Rennes (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesson Rennes

LWWWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Toulouse France Starligue	28-31	L
03/06	Nantes France Starligue	26-35	L
27/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	31-37	L
08/05	Montpellier France Starligue	34-36	L
30/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-30	W
24/04	PSG Handball France Starligue	31-34	L
16/04	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-22	W
12/04	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	39-32	W
03/04	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	30-28	W
28/03	Tremblay France Starligue	31-32	L

USAM Nimes

LLLWLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Montpellier France Starligue	30-34	L
02/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	31-33	L
29/05	Dunkerque France Starligue	31-31	D
07/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	31-31	D
01/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	28-33	L
25/04	Toulouse France Starligue	28-39	L
19/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	36-27	W
10/04	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	35-37	L
03/04	Dijon France Starligue	25-28	L
27/03	PSG Handball France Starligue	33-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesson Rennes vs USAM Nimes?

Our model gives 66% to Cesson Rennes.

How many points are expected in Cesson Rennes vs USAM Nimes?

The model estimates 63.8 total points (Cesson Rennes 32.5 · USAM Nimes 31.3).