Handball · France Starligue · 03/10, 19:00

Prediction: Dunkerque vs Nantes

Team pages: Dunkerque · Nantes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.2Total

Dunkerque27.5

Nantes33.6

1X2

20% 80%

Dunkerque Nantes

Recent form · 10 last

Dunkerque 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDLLLL

Nantes 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Dunkerque 0–6 Nantes (6 last)

Nantes26-22Dunkerque
Nantes37-21Dunkerque
Dunkerque30-34Nantes
Nantes30-21Dunkerque
Dunkerque31-35Nantes
Dunkerque23-29Nantes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunkerque 1437 · Nantes 1632

	Dunkerque	Nantes
Our model	33%	67%
Market	10%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 61.2 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.2Dunkerque 27.5 · Nantes 33.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantes (rating 1437 vs 1632).
Nantes is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Nantes: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dunkerque	Nantes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.7 / 30.6	37.2 / 30.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.6 / 29.4	36.4 / 30.4
Est. result	28	34

Est. total61.2

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

19.00

X14.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.88

2 (-5.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 63.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +38’	9.00	14.00	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunkerque 0–0–6 Nantes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 France Starligue	Nantes	26-22	Dunkerque
07/02/26 France Cup	Nantes	37-21	Dunkerque
29/11/25 France Starligue	Dunkerque	30-34	Nantes
22/03/25 France Starligue	Nantes	30-21	Dunkerque
01/12/24 France Starligue	Dunkerque	31-35	Nantes
09/02/24 France Starligue	Dunkerque	23-29	Nantes

Standings · France Starligue

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	4	4	0	132	112	8
2	Nantes	4	3	1	141	117	6
3	Montpellier	4	3	1	148	121	6
4	USAM Nimes	4	3	1	126	126	6
5	USM Saran	4	3	1	114	107	6
6	Pays d'Aix UC	4	2	2	122	124	4
7	Limoges HB 87	4	2	2	135	119	4
8	Chartres Metropole HB 28	4	2	2	114	134	4
9	Selestat Alsace HB	4	2	2	120	128	4
10	Tremblay	4	2	2	138	134	4
11	Caen Handball	4	2	2	106	125	4
12	Toulouse	4	1	3	110	113	2
13	Chambery Savoie	4	1	3	130	138	2
14	Cesson Rennes	4	1	3	113	123	2
15	Saint Raphael	4	1	3	109	123	2
16	Dunkerque	4	0	4	103	117	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunkerque	Nantes
Chambery Savoie	29-38 L	42-32 W
Limoges HB 87	32-35 L	41-35 W
Istres Provence	31-29 W	40-31 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nantes (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunkerque

LLWDLDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	25-27	L
18/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-38	L
11/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	25-26	L
06/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	24-26	L
06/06	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	32-35	L
29/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	31-31	D
07/05	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-29	W
01/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	22-32	L
25/04	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	28-32	L

Nantes

WWWLWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Toulouse France Starligue	29-30	L
20/09	Montpellier France Starligue	36-31	W
12/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	38-28	W
05/09	Tremblay France Starligue	38-28	W
06/06	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	41-35	W
03/06	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	35-26	W
27/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	31-34	L
09/05	Dijon France Starligue	42-32	W
03/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	42-32	W
24/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	40-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunkerque vs Nantes?

Our model gives 80% to Nantes.

How many points are expected in Dunkerque vs Nantes?

The model estimates 61.2 total points (Dunkerque 27.5 · Nantes 33.6).