Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: HSG Freiburg (W) vs ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Team pages: HSG Freiburg (W) · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.1Total

HSG Freiburg (W)27.7

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)31.4

1X2

38% 62%

HSG Freiburg (W) ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

Markets

Over 56.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Freiburg (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLW

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

HSG Freiburg (W) 1–3 ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (4 last)

HSG Freiburg (W)33-34ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)27-28HSG Freiburg (W)
HSG Freiburg (W)26-27ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)26-24HSG Freiburg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Freiburg (W) 1448 · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 1550

	HSG Freiburg (W)	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
Our model	45%	55%
Market	29%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 59.1 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.1HSG Freiburg (W) 27.7 · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 31.4

Over / Under 56.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~59.7 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (rating 1448 vs 1550).
H2H favours ESV 1927 Regensburg (W): 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Freiburg (W)	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.7 / 33.8	31.3 / 24.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.4 / 32.4	31.6 / 24.4
Est. result	28	31

Est. total59.1

Line O/U56.5

Diff.2.6

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.10

X8.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.75

2 (-2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.80

Under 56.51.90

Diff.: 3.25 · Est. total: 59.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:57 +23’	3.10	8.50	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Freiburg (W) 1–0–3 ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSG Freiburg (W)	33-34	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
17/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	27-28	HSG Freiburg (W)
25/05/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSG Freiburg (W)	26-27	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
20/01/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	26-24	HSG Freiburg (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	6	6	0	0	195	165	12
2	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	6	5	1	0	221	167	11
3	VfL Waiblingen (W)	6	5	0	1	181	147	10
4	Fuchse Berlin (W)	6	4	2	0	206	175	10
5	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	6	5	0	1	189	165	10
6	Bergischer HC (W)	6	4	1	1	183	167	9
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	5	4	0	1	158	122	8
8	HC Rodertal (W)	6	4	0	2	192	156	8
9	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	5	2	0	3	127	151	4
10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	6	2	0	4	169	183	4
11	HSG Freiburg (W)	6	2	0	4	185	201	4
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	6	1	0	5	167	201	2
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	6	0	1	5	177	208	1
14	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	6	0	1	5	171	214	1
15	TUS Lintfort (W)	6	0	0	6	153	186	0
16	Rostocker HC (W)	6	0	0	6	146	212	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Freiburg (W)	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
Rostocker HC (W)	40-30 W	27-18 W
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	24-29 L	30-27 W
HC Rodertal (W)	25-40 L	31-28 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Freiburg (W)

LLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-30	W
17/10	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-35	L
10/10	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-29	L
19/09	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	38-29	W
12/09	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-39	L
05/09	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-39	L
30/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-40	L
23/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-34	L
17/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-31	L
09/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-32	L

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-25	W
19/09	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-28	W
12/09	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-27	W
05/09	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-15	W
29/08	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-27	L
30/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-18	W
23/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-33	W
16/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W
09/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-25	W
02/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Freiburg (W) vs ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)?

Our model gives 62% to ESV 1927 Regensburg (W).

How many points are expected in HSG Freiburg (W) vs ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)?

The model estimates 59.1 total points (HSG Freiburg (W) 27.7 · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 31.4).

Over or under 56.5 points?

Recent history points to over 56.5 points (70%).