Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 07/11, 19:30

Prediction: SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) vs Bergischer HC (W)

Team pages: SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) · Bergischer HC (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.7Total

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)33.7

Bergischer HC (W)28

1X2

73% 27%

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Bergischer HC (W)

Recent form · 10 last

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Bergischer HC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 4–0 Bergischer HC (W) (4 last)

Bergischer HC (W)26-37SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)33-25Bergischer HC (W)
Bergischer HC (W)33-35SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)27-22Bergischer HC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 1591 · Bergischer HC (W) 1473

	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	Bergischer HC (W)
Our model	75%	25%
Market	65%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 61.7 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.7SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 33.7 · Bergischer HC (W) 28

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) (rating 1591 vs 1473).
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W): 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	Bergischer HC (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	35.8 / 27.8	28.5 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.2 / 28.2	30.8 / 28.6
Est. result	34	28

Est. total61.7

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.95

2 (+3.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 60.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +8’	1.37	9.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 4–0–0 Bergischer HC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bergischer HC (W)	26-37	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
17/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	33-25	Bergischer HC (W)
15/03/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bergischer HC (W)	33-35	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
02/11/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	27-22	Bergischer HC (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	7	6	1	0	252	195	13
2	Fuchse Berlin (W)	7	5	2	0	240	199	12
3	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	7	6	0	1	217	189	12
4	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	7	6	0	1	219	199	12
5	HC Rodertal (W)	7	5	0	2	221	183	10
6	VfL Waiblingen (W)	7	5	0	2	209	178	10
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	6	4	1	1	191	155	9
8	Bergischer HC (W)	7	4	1	2	210	196	9
9	HSG Freiburg (W)	7	2	1	4	218	234	5
10	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	6	2	0	4	156	188	4
11	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	7	2	0	5	193	211	4
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	7	2	0	5	204	230	4
13	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	7	1	1	5	211	247	3
14	TUS Lintfort (W)	7	1	0	6	178	210	2
15	SV Todesfelde (W)	7	0	1	6	201	233	1
16	Rostocker HC (W)	7	0	0	7	179	252	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	Bergischer HC (W)
VfL Waiblingen (W)	31-28 W	27-28 L
Rostocker HC (W)	38-27 W	34-25 W
Fuchse Berlin (W)	36-36 D	29-29 D
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	37-28 W	22-31 L
TUS Lintfort (W)	37-27 W	35-31 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-28	W
17/10	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	38-27	W
10/10	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-36	D
19/09	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-28	W
12/09	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-22	W
05/09	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-31	W
29/08	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-23	W
30/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-27	W
23/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-26	W
16/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-30	W

Bergischer HC (W)

LLLWDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-29	L
16/10	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-28	L
10/10	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-30	W
19/09	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-25	W
12/09	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-31	W
05/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
29/08	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-24	W
30/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-31	L
23/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-37	L
17/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) vs Bergischer HC (W)?

Our model gives 73% to SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W).

How many points are expected in SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) vs Bergischer HC (W)?

The model estimates 61.7 total points (SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 33.7 · Bergischer HC (W) 28).