Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)

Team pages: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.4Total

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)30.9

HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)26.5

1X2

79% 21%

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)

Markets

Under 60.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 5–1 HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) (6 last)

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)39-32HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)27-31ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)27-32ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)28-26HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)32-27ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)25-22HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 1568 · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 1440

	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
Our model	76%	24%
Market	73%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 57.4 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.4ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 30.9 · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 26.5

Over / Under 60.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~57.5 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (rating 1568 vs 1440).
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours ESV 1927 Regensburg (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.3 / 25.8	27.5 / 28.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.4 / 25.6	26.2 / 30.2
Est. result	31	27

Est. total57.4

Line O/U60.5

Diff.3.1

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X10.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 3.75 · Est. total: 56.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +12’	1.22	10.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 5–0–1 HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	39-32	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
15/11/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	27-31	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
08/03/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	27-32	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
07/12/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	28-26	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
17/02/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	32-27	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)
07/10/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	25-22	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	7	6	1	0	252	195	13
2	Fuchse Berlin (W)	7	5	2	0	240	199	12
3	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	7	6	0	1	217	189	12
4	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	7	6	0	1	219	199	12
5	HC Rodertal (W)	7	5	0	2	221	183	10
6	VfL Waiblingen (W)	7	5	0	2	209	178	10
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	6	4	1	1	191	155	9
8	Bergischer HC (W)	7	4	1	2	210	196	9
9	HSG Freiburg (W)	7	2	1	4	218	234	5
10	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	6	2	0	4	156	188	4
11	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	7	2	0	5	193	211	4
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	7	2	0	5	204	230	4
13	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	7	1	1	5	211	247	3
14	TUS Lintfort (W)	7	1	0	6	178	210	2
15	SV Todesfelde (W)	7	0	1	6	201	233	1
16	Rostocker HC (W)	7	0	0	7	179	252	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)
Bergischer HC (W)	24-27 L	31-22 W
Rostocker HC (W)	27-18 W	31-24 W
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	30-27 W	26-29 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
17/10	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-25	W
19/09	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-28	W
12/09	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-27	W
05/09	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-15	W
29/08	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-27	L
30/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-18	W
23/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-33	W
16/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W
09/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-25	W

HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-28	L
17/10	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-29	L
11/10	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-26	W
19/09	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-37	L
12/09	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	21-31	L
05/09	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-24	W
30/08	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-36	L
30/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-22	W
23/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	17-33	L
17/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)?

Our model gives 79% to ESV 1927 Regensburg (W).

How many points are expected in ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) vs HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)?

The model estimates 57.4 total points (ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) 30.9 · HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) 26.5).

Over or under 60.5 points?

Recent history points to under 60.5 points (65%).