Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 03/10, 19:00

Prediction: SG Flensburg-Handewitt vs Frisch Auf Goppingen

Team pages: SG Flensburg-Handewitt · Frisch Auf Goppingen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.8Total

SG Flensburg-Handewitt33.5

Frisch Auf Goppingen31.3

1X2

83% 17%

SG Flensburg-Handewitt Frisch Auf Goppingen

Recent form · 10 last

SG Flensburg-Handewitt 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWWD

Frisch Auf Goppingen 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLWWL

Head-to-head

SG Flensburg-Handewitt 4–1–1 Frisch Auf Goppingen (6 last)

Frisch Auf Goppingen32-33SG Flensburg-Handewitt
SG Flensburg-Handewitt32-26Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen27-27SG Flensburg-Handewitt
SG Flensburg-Handewitt37-32Frisch Auf Goppingen
SG Flensburg-Handewitt35-30Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen32-31SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SG Flensburg-Handewitt 1592 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 1522

	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	Frisch Auf Goppingen
Our model	69%	31%
Market	86%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 64.8 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.8SG Flensburg-Handewitt 33.5 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 31.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SG Flensburg-Handewitt (rating 1592 vs 1522).
SG Flensburg-Handewitt is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours SG Flensburg-Handewitt: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	Frisch Auf Goppingen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.9 / 33	29.5 / 30.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.8 / 31.4	27.6 / 31.6
Est. result	34	31

Est. total64.8

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

X16.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.88

2 (+6.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.90

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 64.1

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.09 → 1.10▲	Bet365 1.10
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:06 +50’	1.09	16.00	12.00
11:59 +4’	1.10▲	16.00	11.00▼
12:56 +15’	1.09▼	16.00	12.00▲
15:02 +12’	1.10▲	16.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SG Flensburg-Handewitt 4–1–1 Frisch Auf Goppingen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	32-33	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
28/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	32-26	Frisch Auf Goppingen
08/03/25 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	27-27	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
21/09/24 Germany Bundesliga	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	37-32	Frisch Auf Goppingen
10/03/24 Germany Bundesliga	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	35-30	Frisch Auf Goppingen
16/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	32-31	SG Flensburg-Handewitt

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Magdeburg	7	6	0	1	237	210	12
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	6	5	1	0	212	188	11
3	THW Kiel	7	5	1	1	217	202	11
4	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	6	4	1	1	183	173	9
5	Fuchse Berlin	5	4	0	1	169	154	8
6	MT Melsungen	6	3	1	2	190	173	7
7	Vfl Gummersbach	6	3	1	2	195	186	7
8	HC Erlangen	6	3	1	2	181	173	7
9	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	6	3	1	2	186	185	7
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	6	3	0	3	171	173	6
11	TBV Lemgo	6	3	0	3	186	193	6
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	6	3	0	3	170	188	6
13	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	5	2	0	3	151	142	4
14	HSV Hamburg	7	1	1	5	220	229	3
15	ThSV Eisenach	7	1	1	5	194	214	3
16	SG BBM Bietigheim	6	1	0	5	170	200	2
17	HSG Wetzlar	6	0	1	5	186	208	1
18	Bergischer HC	6	0	0	6	168	195	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	Frisch Auf Goppingen
THW Kiel	31-31 D	31-32 L
HSV Hamburg	37-34 W	32-31 W
HC Erlangen	38-33 W	32-30 W
Bergischer HC	34-29 W	28-29 L
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	33-37 L	32-33 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SG Flensburg-Handewitt (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SG Flensburg-Handewitt

LLWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
20/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
10/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	39-30	W
05/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	38-33	W
02/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	34-29	W
28/08	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	38-43	L
04/06	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	36-31	W
24/05	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	33-37	L
21/05	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L

Frisch Auf Goppingen

WWLLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	28-36	L
17/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
13/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
06/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	31-32	L
02/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	18-31	L
29/08	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	32-30	W
07/06	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
03/06	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
25/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-28	W
07/05	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SG Flensburg-Handewitt vs Frisch Auf Goppingen?

Our model gives 83% to SG Flensburg-Handewitt.

How many points are expected in SG Flensburg-Handewitt vs Frisch Auf Goppingen?

The model estimates 64.8 total points (SG Flensburg-Handewitt 33.5 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 31.3).