Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 08/10, 19:00

Prediction: TVB 1898 Stuttgart vs HSG Wetzlar

Team pages: TVB 1898 Stuttgart · HSG Wetzlar

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.7Total

TVB 1898 Stuttgart32

HSG Wetzlar29.7

1X2

74% 26%

TVB 1898 Stuttgart HSG Wetzlar

Recent form · 10 last

TVB 1898 Stuttgart 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLLWWL

HSG Wetzlar 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLLLD

Head-to-head

TVB 1898 Stuttgart 3–2–1 HSG Wetzlar (6 last)

HSG Wetzlar31-31TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart30-27HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar26-28TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart23-26HSG Wetzlar
TVB 1898 Stuttgart30-25HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar31-31TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 1528 · HSG Wetzlar 1444

	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	HSG Wetzlar
Our model	71%	29%
Market	69%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 61.7 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.7TVB 1898 Stuttgart 32 · HSG Wetzlar 29.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TVB 1898 Stuttgart (rating 1528 vs 1444).
TVB 1898 Stuttgart is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours TVB 1898 Stuttgart: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	HSG Wetzlar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.5 / 29.7	30.7 / 32.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 30.4	31.2 / 34.4
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.7

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.78

2 (+2.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 61.85

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	9.00 → 9.50▲	Bet365 9.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +2’	1.37	9.00	4.50
12:07 +2’	1.37	9.50▲	4.50
11:20 +2’	1.37	9.50	4.25▼
12:14 +7’	1.37	9.50	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 3–2–1 HSG Wetzlar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	31-31	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
04/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	30-27	HSG Wetzlar
04/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	26-28	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
29/09/24 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	23-26	HSG Wetzlar
11/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	30-25	HSG Wetzlar
29/10/23 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	31-31	TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Magdeburg	8	7	0	1	272	238	14
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	7	6	1	0	244	215	13
3	THW Kiel	8	6	1	1	246	228	13
4	Fuchse Berlin	6	5	0	1	201	185	10
5	MT Melsungen	7	4	1	2	218	195	9
6	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	7	4	1	2	205	201	9
7	TBV Lemgo	7	4	0	3	216	220	8
8	Vfl Gummersbach	7	3	1	3	221	215	7
9	HC Erlangen	7	3	1	3	209	208	7
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	7	3	1	3	201	203	7
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	7	3	1	3	213	215	7
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	7	3	0	4	197	220	6
13	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	6	2	0	4	179	171	4
14	HSV Hamburg	7	1	1	5	220	229	3
15	ThSV Eisenach	7	1	1	5	194	214	3
16	HSG Wetzlar	7	0	2	5	216	238	2
17	Bergischer HC	7	1	0	6	197	223	2
18	SG BBM Bietigheim	7	1	0	6	201	232	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	HSG Wetzlar
TBV Lemgo	27-30 L	27-31 L
ThSV Eisenach	33-28 W	31-31 D
HSV Hamburg	34-34 D	32-37 L
HC Erlangen	22-17 W	29-26 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TVB 1898 Stuttgart (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TVB 1898 Stuttgart

WWWWDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-30	L
01/10	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	33-28	W
18/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
13/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	27-32	L
06/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	33-34	L
02/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-34	D
28/08	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	30-29	W
07/06	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	22-17	W
03/06	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	33-32	W
24/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	37-33	W

HSG Wetzlar

WLLLLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
27/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-37	L
20/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-36	L
13/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-38	L
07/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-31	L
30/08	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	33-35	L
07/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L
04/06	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
23/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TVB 1898 Stuttgart vs HSG Wetzlar?

Our model gives 74% to TVB 1898 Stuttgart.

How many points are expected in TVB 1898 Stuttgart vs HSG Wetzlar?

The model estimates 61.7 total points (TVB 1898 Stuttgart 32 · HSG Wetzlar 29.7).