Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 11/10, 18:00

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin vs TBV Lemgo

Team pages: Fuchse Berlin · TBV Lemgo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.3Total

Fuchse Berlin34.6

TBV Lemgo31.6

1X2

81% 19%

Fuchse Berlin TBV Lemgo

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWWWW

TBV Lemgo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin 4–1–1 TBV Lemgo (6 last)

TBV Lemgo36-39Fuchse Berlin
TBV Lemgo33-34Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin33-34TBV Lemgo
TBV Lemgo25-25Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin33-21TBV Lemgo
Fuchse Berlin30-26TBV Lemgo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin 1593 · TBV Lemgo 1517

	Fuchse Berlin	TBV Lemgo
Our model	70%	30%
Market	83%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 66.3 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.3Fuchse Berlin 34.6 · TBV Lemgo 31.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fuchse Berlin (rating 1593 vs 1517).
Fuchse Berlin is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours Fuchse Berlin: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin	TBV Lemgo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	35.4 / 31.9	31.8 / 31.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.6 / 30.8	31.6 / 31.6
Est. result	35	32

Est. total66.3

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

X14.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 65.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:25 +32’	1.14	14.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin 4–1–1 TBV Lemgo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany DHB Pokal	TBV Lemgo	36-39	Fuchse Berlin
12/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	33-34	Fuchse Berlin
30/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	33-34	TBV Lemgo
16/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	25-25	Fuchse Berlin
12/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	33-21	TBV Lemgo
17/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	30-26	TBV Lemgo

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Magdeburg	8	7	0	1	272	238	14
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	7	6	1	0	244	215	13
3	THW Kiel	8	6	1	1	246	228	13
4	Fuchse Berlin	6	5	0	1	201	185	10
5	MT Melsungen	7	4	1	2	218	195	9
6	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	7	4	1	2	205	201	9
7	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	8	4	1	3	244	241	9
8	TBV Lemgo	7	4	0	3	216	220	8
9	Vfl Gummersbach	7	3	1	3	221	215	7
10	HC Erlangen	7	3	1	3	209	208	7
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	8	3	1	4	230	236	7
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	7	3	0	4	197	220	6
13	ThSV Eisenach	8	2	1	5	227	243	5
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	6	2	0	4	179	171	4
15	HSV Hamburg	7	1	1	5	220	229	3
16	Bergischer HC	7	1	0	6	197	223	2
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	7	1	0	6	201	232	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	8	0	2	6	242	269	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin	TBV Lemgo
SG BBM Bietigheim	32-31 W	36-29 W
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	34-33 W	30-27 W
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	43-38 W	30-39 L
ThSV Eisenach	41-38 W	38-34 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TBV Lemgo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuchse Berlin

DWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
20/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	37-26	W
13/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-28	W
06/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
03/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	32-36	L
27/08	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	43-38	W
04/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	39-28	W
29/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	41-38	W
21/05	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D

TBV Lemgo

WWWLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	30-27	W
01/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-30	W
20/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-33	L
10/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-39	L
06/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	36-29	W
03/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-27	W
27/08	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	27-35	L
07/06	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	34-31	W
03/06	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W
22/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	38-34	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin vs TBV Lemgo?

Our model gives 81% to Fuchse Berlin.

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin vs TBV Lemgo?

The model estimates 66.3 total points (Fuchse Berlin 34.6 · TBV Lemgo 31.6).