Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 23/09, 19:00

Prediction: HIF Karlskrona vs Alingsas HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.4Total

HIF Karlskrona29.4

Alingsas HK31

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

HIF Karlskrona Alingsas HK

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HIF Karlskrona 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLLWL

Alingsas HK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDLDL

Head-to-head

HIF Karlskrona 0–2–4 Alingsas HK (6 last)

HIF Karlskrona33-33Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK27-25HIF Karlskrona
Alingsas HK30-27HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona28-28Alingsas HK
HIF Karlskrona23-26Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK34-31HIF Karlskrona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HIF Karlskrona 1483 · Alingsas HK 1534

	HIF Karlskrona	Alingsas HK
Our model	53%	47%
Market	32%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 60.4 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.4HIF Karlskrona 29.4 · Alingsas HK 31

Match keys

H2H favours Alingsas HK: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HIF Karlskrona	Alingsas HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.5 / 32.9	28.1 / 27
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 32.6	28.2 / 29.4
Est. result	29	31

Est. total60.4

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.80

X7.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 60.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:51 +1’	2.80	7.50	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HIF Karlskrona 0–2–4 Alingsas HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	33-33	Alingsas HK
26/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	27-25	HIF Karlskrona
25/02/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	30-27	HIF Karlskrona
26/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	28-28	Alingsas HK
27/02/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	23-26	Alingsas HK
29/11/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	34-31	HIF Karlskrona

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alingsas HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Amo HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hammarby IF HF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HIF Karlskrona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HK Malmo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IF Hallby HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IFK Kristianstad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IFK Skovde HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IK Savehof	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lugi HF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Onnereds HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OV Helsingborg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skanela IF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ystads IF HF	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HIF Karlskrona	Alingsas HK
IFK Kristianstad	35-41 L	27-32 L
Amo HK	34-39 L	32-27 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alingsas HK (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HIF Karlskrona

WDWWLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	35-41	L
13/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
09/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
03/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
25/03	Eskilstuna Guif Sweden Handbollsligan	31-27	W
13/03	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	34-39	L
09/03	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	36-35	W
04/03	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
27/02	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-33	D
21/02	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-31	W

Alingsas HK

WLWWWDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
06/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-30	D
02/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	24-25	L
29/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
23/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
15/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	18-17	W
12/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
07/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	36-26	W
01/04	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	23-25	L
25/03	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HIF Karlskrona vs Alingsas HK?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HIF Karlskrona 43% · Alingsas HK 57%).

How many points are expected in HIF Karlskrona vs Alingsas HK?

The model estimates 60.4 total points (HIF Karlskrona 29.4 · Alingsas HK 31).