Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 23/09, 19:00

Prediction: Ystads IF HF vs IFK Skovde HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.5Total

Ystads IF HF28.5

IFK Skovde HK29

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

68% 32%

Ystads IF HF IFK Skovde HK

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Ystads IF HF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLDLL

IFK Skovde HK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Ystads IF HF 3–3 IFK Skovde HK (6 last)

IFK Skovde HK36-33Ystads IF HF
IFK Skovde HK27-29Ystads IF HF
Ystads IF HF29-24IFK Skovde HK
Ystads IF HF25-28IFK Skovde HK
Ystads IF HF33-31IFK Skovde HK
Ystads IF HF33-35IFK Skovde HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ystads IF HF 1521 · IFK Skovde HK 1525

	Ystads IF HF	IFK Skovde HK
Our model	59%	41%
Market	65%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 57.5 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.5Ystads IF HF 28.5 · IFK Skovde HK 29

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ystads IF HF	IFK Skovde HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.9 / 29.1	28.1 / 28
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 32.4	25.2 / 28.4
Est. result	29	29

Est. total57.5

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X8.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 57.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.37▼	Bet365 1.37
X	7.50 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00
2	3.20 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:24 +28’	1.50	7.50	3.20
23:44 +5’	1.37▼	8.00▲	3.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ystads IF HF 3–0–3 IFK Skovde HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	36-33	Ystads IF HF
09/11/25 European League Qualification	IFK Skovde HK	27-29	Ystads IF HF
24/10/25 European League Qualification	Ystads IF HF	29-24	IFK Skovde HK
16/10/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	25-28	IFK Skovde HK
17/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	33-31	IFK Skovde HK
16/11/24 European League Qualification	Ystads IF HF	33-35	IFK Skovde HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alingsas HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Amo HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hammarby IF HF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HIF Karlskrona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HK Malmo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IF Hallby HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IFK Kristianstad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IFK Skovde HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IK Savehof	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lugi HF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Onnereds HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OV Helsingborg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skanela IF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ystads IF HF	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ystads IF HF	IFK Skovde HK
HK Malmo	28-34 L	26-32 L
IFK Kristianstad	35-32 W	30-34 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ystads IF HF (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ystads IF HF

WWWLWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L
16/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
12/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-27	D
07/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	28-38	L
02/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	36-33	W
25/03	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	36-24	W
13/03	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L
07/03	Eskilstuna Guif Sweden Handbollsligan	26-21	W
28/02	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	25-18	W
20/02	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	35-32	W

IFK Skovde HK

LWWWWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	17-18	L
12/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
07/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L
01/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-23	W
25/03	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
12/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
08/03	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-28	W
04/03	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-25	W
21/02	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-25	W
16/02	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	26-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ystads IF HF vs IFK Skovde HK?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ystads IF HF 68% · IFK Skovde HK 32%).

How many points are expected in Ystads IF HF vs IFK Skovde HK?

The model estimates 57.5 total points (Ystads IF HF 28.5 · IFK Skovde HK 29).