Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 27/08, 19:00
Prediction: THW Kiel vs TBV Lemgo
Prediction summary
Estimated points
60.2Total
THW Kiel30.2
TBV Lemgo30
1X2
THW Kiel
TBV Lemgo
Recent form · 10 last
THW Kiel
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
TBV Lemgo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
THW Kiel
4–1–1
TBV Lemgo
(6 last)
- THW Kiel31-34TBV Lemgo
- TBV Lemgo23-23THW Kiel
- THW Kiel35-29TBV Lemgo
- TBV Lemgo22-23THW Kiel
- TBV Lemgo27-28THW Kiel
- THW Kiel33-29TBV Lemgo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · THW Kiel 1492 · TBV Lemgo 1494
| THW Kiel | TBV Lemgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 76% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
60.2 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points60.2THW Kiel 30.2 · TBV Lemgo 30
Match keys
- THW Kiel is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours THW Kiel: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| THW Kiel | TBV Lemgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30.4 / 30.7 | 30.8 / 31.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 29.2 / 31.8 | 32 / 32.6 |
| Est. result | 30 | 30 |
Est. total60.2
Line O/U59.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · THW Kiel 4–1–1 TBV Lemgo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Germany Bundesliga | THW Kiel | 31-34 | TBV Lemgo |
| 14/12/25 Germany Bundesliga | TBV Lemgo | 23-23 | THW Kiel |
| 15/05/25 Germany Bundesliga | THW Kiel | 35-29 | TBV Lemgo |
| 26/12/24 Germany Bundesliga | TBV Lemgo | 22-23 | THW Kiel |
| 31/03/24 Germany Bundesliga | TBV Lemgo | 27-28 | THW Kiel |
| 22/10/23 Germany Bundesliga | THW Kiel | 33-29 | TBV Lemgo |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergischer HC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frisch Auf Goppingen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fuchse Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HBW Balingen-Weilstetten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HC Erlangen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HSV Hamburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | HSG Wetzlar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MT Melsungen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rhein Neckar Lowen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SG BBM Bietigheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TBV Lemgo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ThSV Eisenach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | THW Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TVB 1898 Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vfl Gummersbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | THW Kiel | TBV Lemgo |
|---|---|---|
| TSV GWD Minden | 30-34 L | 28-32 L |
| Fuchse Berlin | 28-35 L | 33-34 L |
| SC DHFK Leipzig | 28-28 D | 30-28 W |
| ThSV Eisenach | 30-30 D | 38-34 W |
| MT Melsungen | 29-30 L | 26-27 L |
| SG Flensburg-Handewitt | 37-33 W | 30-38 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: TBV Lemgo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
THW Kiel
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga |
31-34 | L |
| 03/06 | TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga |
30-34 | L |
| 24/05 | Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga |
32-23 | W |
| 10/05 | Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
28-35 | L |
| 02/05 | HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga |
25-33 | L |
| 25/04 | SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga |
28-28 | D |
| 12/04 | HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga |
34-27 | W |
| 04/04 | ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga |
30-30 | D |
| 27/03 | MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga |
29-30 | L |
| 14/03 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga |
37-33 | W |
TBV Lemgo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga |
34-31 | W |
| 03/06 | SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga |
30-28 | W |
| 22/05 | ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga |
38-34 | W |
| 09/05 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga |
30-38 | L |
| 01/05 | TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga |
28-32 | L |
| 26/04 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga |
30-30 | D |
| 12/04 | Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
33-34 | L |
| 04/04 | MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga |
26-27 | L |
| 29/03 | TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga |
32-32 | D |
| 15/03 | Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga |
27-30 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in THW Kiel vs TBV Lemgo?
Our model gives 74% to THW Kiel.
How many points are expected in THW Kiel vs TBV Lemgo?
The model estimates 60.2 total points (THW Kiel 30.2 · TBV Lemgo 30).