Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: HSG Wetzlar vs Rhein Neckar Lowen

Team pages: HSG Wetzlar · Rhein Neckar Lowen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

HSG Wetzlar29.3

Rhein Neckar Lowen31.8

1X2

31% 69%

HSG Wetzlar Rhein Neckar Lowen

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Wetzlar 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDLLL

Rhein Neckar Lowen 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

HSG Wetzlar 1–1–4 Rhein Neckar Lowen (6 last)

Rhein Neckar Lowen41-27HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar23-30Rhein Neckar Lowen
HSG Wetzlar30-30Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen32-27HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar30-27Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen26-21HSG Wetzlar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Wetzlar 1438 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 1539

	HSG Wetzlar	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Our model	46%	54%
Market	20%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1HSG Wetzlar 29.3 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 31.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rhein Neckar Lowen (rating 1438 vs 1539).
Rhein Neckar Lowen is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours Rhein Neckar Lowen: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Wetzlar	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.7 / 32.9	28.9 / 28.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 34.6	28 / 28.2
Est. result	29	32

Est. total61.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.75

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 1.15 · Est. total: 60.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:40 +19’	4.75	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Wetzlar 1–1–4 Rhein Neckar Lowen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	41-27	HSG Wetzlar
27/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	23-30	Rhein Neckar Lowen
01/06/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	30-30	Rhein Neckar Lowen
26/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	32-27	HSG Wetzlar
07/04/24 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	30-27	Rhein Neckar Lowen
26/11/23 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	26-21	HSG Wetzlar

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Magdeburg	7	6	0	1	237	210	12
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	6	5	1	0	212	188	11
3	THW Kiel	7	5	1	1	217	202	11
4	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	6	4	1	1	183	173	9
5	Fuchse Berlin	5	4	0	1	169	154	8
6	MT Melsungen	6	3	1	2	190	173	7
7	Vfl Gummersbach	6	3	1	2	195	186	7
8	HC Erlangen	6	3	1	2	181	173	7
9	Rhein Neckar Lowen	6	3	0	3	171	173	6
10	Frisch Auf Goppingen	6	3	0	3	170	188	6
11	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	5	2	1	2	153	157	5
12	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	5	2	0	3	151	142	4
13	TBV Lemgo	5	2	0	3	152	163	4
14	HSV Hamburg	6	1	1	4	190	195	3
15	ThSV Eisenach	6	1	1	4	166	181	3
16	SG BBM Bietigheim	6	1	0	5	170	200	2
17	HSG Wetzlar	6	0	1	5	186	208	1
18	Bergischer HC	6	0	0	6	168	195	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Wetzlar	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Vfl Gummersbach	33-36 L	26-31 L
SC Magdeburg	30-38 L	30-33 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen	30-31 L	28-29 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Wetzlar

LWLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-37	L
20/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-36	L
13/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-38	L
07/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-31	L
30/08	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	33-35	L
07/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L
04/06	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
23/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
07/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L

Rhein Neckar Lowen

WLWLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W
17/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
11/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-27	W
05/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	27-26	W
02/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	26-31	L
30/08	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	31-32	L
07/06	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	27-28	L
03/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
24/05	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-33	L
07/05	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Wetzlar vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?

Our model gives 69% to Rhein Neckar Lowen.

How many points are expected in HSG Wetzlar vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (HSG Wetzlar 29.3 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 31.8).