Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 18/10, 16:30

Prediction: TBV Lemgo vs Frisch Auf Goppingen

Team pages: TBV Lemgo · Frisch Auf Goppingen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61Total

TBV Lemgo31.5

Frisch Auf Goppingen29.5

1X2

73% 27%

TBV Lemgo Frisch Auf Goppingen

Markets

Over 57.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

TBV Lemgo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWWW

Frisch Auf Goppingen 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

TBV Lemgo 2–1–3 Frisch Auf Goppingen (6 last)

TBV Lemgo27-30Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen26-33TBV Lemgo
TBV Lemgo29-29Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen29-22TBV Lemgo
Frisch Auf Goppingen26-32TBV Lemgo
TBV Lemgo21-26Frisch Auf Goppingen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TBV Lemgo 1543 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 1491

	TBV Lemgo	Frisch Auf Goppingen
Our model	67%	33%
Market	69%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 61 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61TBV Lemgo 31.5 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 29.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TBV Lemgo (rating 1543 vs 1491).
TBV Lemgo is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Frisch Auf Goppingen: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TBV Lemgo	Frisch Auf Goppingen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.7 / 31.5	28.2 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 33	28.2 / 31.2
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61

Line O/U57.5

Diff.3.5

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.78

2 (+2.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.88

Under 57.51.88

Diff.: 3.75 · Est. total: 61.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.37▲	Bet365 1.37
X	10.00 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00
2	6.00 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +1’	1.25	10.00	6.00
14:56 +21’	1.37▲	9.00▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TBV Lemgo 2–1–3 Frisch Auf Goppingen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	27-30	Frisch Auf Goppingen
10/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	26-33	TBV Lemgo
08/06/25 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	29-29	Frisch Auf Goppingen
08/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	29-22	TBV Lemgo
04/03/24 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	26-32	TBV Lemgo
15/10/23 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	21-26	Frisch Auf Goppingen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	10	8	1	1	309	283	17
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	8	7	1	0	283	247	15
3	SC Magdeburg	8	7	0	1	272	238	14
4	HC Erlangen	9	5	1	3	276	270	11
5	Fuchse Berlin	7	5	0	2	237	222	10
6	TBV Lemgo	8	5	0	3	253	256	10
7	MT Melsungen	8	4	1	3	250	228	9
8	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	8	4	1	3	244	241	9
9	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	8	4	1	3	237	240	9
10	Vfl Gummersbach	7	3	1	3	221	215	7
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	9	3	1	5	266	273	7
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	8	3	0	5	222	249	6
13	ThSV Eisenach	8	2	1	5	227	243	5
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	6	2	0	4	179	171	4
15	SG BBM Bietigheim	8	2	0	6	230	257	4
16	HSV Hamburg	8	1	1	6	239	255	3
17	Bergischer HC	7	1	0	6	197	223	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	9	0	2	7	272	303	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TBV Lemgo	Frisch Auf Goppingen
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	30-27 W	32-33 L
HSV Hamburg	34-30 W	32-31 W
HC Erlangen	28-33 L	32-30 W
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	30-39 L	27-32 L
SG BBM Bietigheim	36-29 W	25-29 L
THW Kiel	27-35 L	31-32 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TBV Lemgo

WWLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	37-36	W
04/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	30-27	W
01/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-30	W
20/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-33	L
10/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-39	L
06/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	36-29	W
03/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-27	W
27/08	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	27-35	L
07/06	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	34-31	W
03/06	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W

Frisch Auf Goppingen

LLWLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	25-29	L
03/10	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	27-32	L
27/09	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	28-36	L
17/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
13/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
06/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	31-32	L
02/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	18-31	L
29/08	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	32-30	W
07/06	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
03/06	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TBV Lemgo vs Frisch Auf Goppingen?

Our model gives 73% to TBV Lemgo.

How many points are expected in TBV Lemgo vs Frisch Auf Goppingen?

The model estimates 61 total points (TBV Lemgo 31.5 · Frisch Auf Goppingen 29.5).