Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 16/10, 20:00

Prediction: ThSV Eisenach vs Vfl Gummersbach

Team pages: ThSV Eisenach · Vfl Gummersbach

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

ThSV Eisenach30.1

Vfl Gummersbach32.2

1X2

33% 67%

ThSV Eisenach Vfl Gummersbach

Recent form · 10 last

ThSV Eisenach 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLLLW

Vfl Gummersbach 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLWWL

Head-to-head

ThSV Eisenach 1–5 Vfl Gummersbach (6 last)

Vfl Gummersbach35-27ThSV Eisenach
ThSV Eisenach32-29Vfl Gummersbach
ThSV Eisenach30-34Vfl Gummersbach
Vfl Gummersbach34-32ThSV Eisenach
ThSV Eisenach26-33Vfl Gummersbach
ThSV Eisenach24-26Vfl Gummersbach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ThSV Eisenach 1452 · Vfl Gummersbach 1542

	ThSV Eisenach	Vfl Gummersbach
Our model	47%	53%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3ThSV Eisenach 30.1 · Vfl Gummersbach 32.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vfl Gummersbach (rating 1452 vs 1542).
Vfl Gummersbach is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Vfl Gummersbach: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ThSV Eisenach	Vfl Gummersbach
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.1 / 31.9	31.6 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.6 / 28.6	31.8 / 31.2
Est. result	30	32

Est. total62.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.25

X9.50

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)2.00

2 (-2.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 61.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 4.25▼	Bet365 4.25
X	10.00 → 9.50▼	Bet365 9.50
2	1.30 → 1.37▲	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +6’	5.00	10.00	1.30
16:16 +2’	4.25▼	9.50▼	1.37▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ThSV Eisenach 1–0–5 Vfl Gummersbach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	35-27	ThSV Eisenach
05/10/25 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	32-29	Vfl Gummersbach
18/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	30-34	Vfl Gummersbach
18/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	34-32	ThSV Eisenach
18/08/24 Club Friendlies	ThSV Eisenach	26-33	Vfl Gummersbach
10/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	24-26	Vfl Gummersbach

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	8	7	1	0	283	247	15
2	THW Kiel	9	7	1	1	272	247	15
3	SC Magdeburg	8	7	0	1	272	238	14
4	Fuchse Berlin	7	5	0	2	237	222	10
5	TBV Lemgo	8	5	0	3	253	256	10
6	MT Melsungen	8	4	1	3	250	228	9
7	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	8	4	1	3	244	241	9
8	HC Erlangen	8	4	1	3	242	240	9
9	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	8	4	1	3	237	240	9
10	Vfl Gummersbach	7	3	1	3	221	215	7
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	8	3	1	4	230	236	7
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	8	3	0	5	222	249	6
13	ThSV Eisenach	8	2	1	5	227	243	5
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	6	2	0	4	179	171	4
15	SG BBM Bietigheim	8	2	0	6	230	257	4
16	HSV Hamburg	8	1	1	6	239	255	3
17	Bergischer HC	7	1	0	6	197	223	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	8	0	2	6	242	269	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ThSV Eisenach	Vfl Gummersbach
Rhein Neckar Lowen	33-29 W	31-26 W
THW Kiel	27-28 L	26-29 L
HSG Wetzlar	31-31 D	36-33 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vfl Gummersbach (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ThSV Eisenach

LLLLDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	33-29	W
01/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	28-33	L
28/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	19-28	L
18/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	27-28	L
10/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	31-25	W
07/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	27-36	L
28/08	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	33-40	L
04/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-36	L

Vfl Gummersbach

WLWLWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	26-29	L
27/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	38-30	W
20/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	36-33	W
13/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-33	L
05/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
02/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	31-26	W
30/08	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-27	W
03/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	35-38	L
23/05	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	32-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ThSV Eisenach vs Vfl Gummersbach?

Our model gives 67% to Vfl Gummersbach.

How many points are expected in ThSV Eisenach vs Vfl Gummersbach?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (ThSV Eisenach 30.1 · Vfl Gummersbach 32.2).