Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: SG Flensburg-Handewitt vs Fuchse Berlin

Team pages: SG Flensburg-Handewitt · Fuchse Berlin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

69.3Total

SG Flensburg-Handewitt34.6

Fuchse Berlin34.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

64% 36%

SG Flensburg-Handewitt Fuchse Berlin

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

SG Flensburg-Handewitt 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Fuchse Berlin 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SG Flensburg-Handewitt 3–3 Fuchse Berlin (6 last)

Fuchse Berlin43-38SG Flensburg-Handewitt
SG Flensburg-Handewitt40-39Fuchse Berlin
SG Flensburg-Handewitt39-40Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin36-31SG Flensburg-Handewitt
SG Flensburg-Handewitt38-37Fuchse Berlin
SG Flensburg-Handewitt36-31Fuchse Berlin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SG Flensburg-Handewitt 1622 · Fuchse Berlin 1579

	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	Fuchse Berlin
Our model	66%	34%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 69.3 points · Bet365 line 68.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points69.3SG Flensburg-Handewitt 34.6 · Fuchse Berlin 34.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	Fuchse Berlin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	35.7 / 32.1	36 / 32.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.6 / 30.8	34.4 / 31
Est. result	35	35

Est. total69.3

Line O/U68.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.67

X8.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 68.51.88

Under 68.51.88

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 68.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67
X	9.00 → 8.50▼	Bet365 8.50
2	3.30 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:52 +25’	1.55	9.00	3.30
14:15 +2’	1.67▲	8.50▼	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SG Flensburg-Handewitt 3–0–3 Fuchse Berlin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	43-38	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
11/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	40-39	Fuchse Berlin
16/08/25 Club Friendlies	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	39-40	Fuchse Berlin
23/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	36-31	SG Flensburg-Handewitt
16/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	38-37	Fuchse Berlin
26/05/24 European League	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	36-31	Fuchse Berlin

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	10	8	1	1	309	283	17
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	8	7	1	0	283	247	15
3	SC Magdeburg	8	7	0	1	272	238	14
4	HC Erlangen	9	5	1	3	276	270	11
5	Fuchse Berlin	7	5	0	2	237	222	10
6	TBV Lemgo	8	5	0	3	253	256	10
7	MT Melsungen	8	4	1	3	250	228	9
8	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	8	4	1	3	244	241	9
9	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	8	4	1	3	237	240	9
10	Vfl Gummersbach	7	3	1	3	221	215	7
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	9	3	1	5	266	273	7
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	8	3	0	5	222	249	6
13	ThSV Eisenach	8	2	1	5	227	243	5
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	6	2	0	4	179	171	4
15	SG BBM Bietigheim	8	2	0	6	230	257	4
16	HSV Hamburg	8	1	1	6	239	255	3
17	Bergischer HC	7	1	0	6	197	223	2
18	HSG Wetzlar	9	0	2	7	272	303	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	Fuchse Berlin
TBV Lemgo	39-30 W	36-37 L
Bergischer HC	34-29 W	37-26 W
ThSV Eisenach	33-31 W	41-38 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SG Flensburg-Handewitt

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	39-32	W
03/10	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	32-27	W
26/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
20/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
10/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	39-30	W
05/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	38-33	W
02/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	34-29	W
28/08	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	38-43	L
04/06	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	36-31	W

Fuchse Berlin

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	36-37	L
03/10	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
20/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	37-26	W
13/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-28	W
06/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
03/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	32-36	L
27/08	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	43-38	W
04/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	39-28	W
29/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	41-38	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SG Flensburg-Handewitt vs Fuchse Berlin?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (SG Flensburg-Handewitt 64% · Fuchse Berlin 36%).

How many points are expected in SG Flensburg-Handewitt vs Fuchse Berlin?

The model estimates 69.3 total points (SG Flensburg-Handewitt 34.6 · Fuchse Berlin 34.7).